Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in São Paulo on August 31 most likely between 16–20°C, consistent with market-implied odds clustered around 17–19°C. A persistent warm, dry air mass has produced daytime highs near or above 30°C through the weekend, but an approaching cold front is expected to increase cloud cover, winds, and humidity late in the day, limiting overnight radiative cooling. The exact low will hinge on the front’s timing, dew-point depression, and any lingering clear-sky periods that could allow temperatures to dip closer to 16°C or hold near 20°C. Updated model runs and official observations from INMET or local stations over the next 24 hours will clarify whether the outcome settles in the lower or upper portion of the current probability range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 31?
17°C or below 37%
18°C 34%
19°C 31%
20°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
17°C or below
37%
18°C
34%
19°C
31%
20°C
27%
21°C
24%
22°C
11%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
17°C or below 37%
18°C 34%
19°C 31%
20°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
17°C or below
$0 KL.
37%
18°C
$0 KL.
34%
19°C
$0 KL.
31%
20°C
$0 KL.
27%
21°C
$0 KL.
24%
22°C
$6 KL.
11%
23°C
$220 KL.
1%
24°C
$145 KL.
5%
25°C
$5 KL.
1%
26°C
$85 KL.
1%
27°C or higher
$111 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in São Paulo on August 31 most likely between 16–20°C, consistent with market-implied odds clustered around 17–19°C. A persistent warm, dry air mass has produced daytime highs near or above 30°C through the weekend, but an approaching cold front is expected to increase cloud cover, winds, and humidity late in the day, limiting overnight radiative cooling. The exact low will hinge on the front’s timing, dew-point depression, and any lingering clear-sky periods that could allow temperatures to dip closer to 16°C or hold near 20°C. Updated model runs and official observations from INMET or local stations over the next 24 hours will clarify whether the outcome settles in the lower or upper portion of the current probability range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$572Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in São Paulo on August 31 most likely between 16–20°C, consistent with market-implied odds clustered around 17–19°C. A persistent warm, dry air mass has produced daytime highs near or above 30°C through the weekend, but an approaching cold front is expected to increase cloud cover, winds, and humidity late in the day, limiting overnight radiative cooling. The exact low will hinge on the front’s timing, dew-point depression, and any lingering clear-sky periods that could allow temperatures to dip closer to 16°C or hold near 20°C. Updated model runs and official observations from INMET or local stations over the next 24 hours will clarify whether the outcome settles in the lower or upper portion of the current probability range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$572Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in São Paulo on August 31 most likely between 16–20°C, consistent with market-implied odds clustered around 17–19°C. A persistent warm, dry air mass has produced daytime highs near or above 30°C through the weekend, but an approaching cold front is expected to increase cloud cover, winds, and humidity late in the day, limiting overnight radiative cooling. The exact low will hinge on the front’s timing, dew-point depression, and any lingering clear-sky periods that could allow temperatures to dip closer to 16°C or hold near 20°C. Updated model runs and official observations from INMET or local stations over the next 24 hours will clarify whether the outcome settles in the lower or upper portion of the current probability range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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