Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from sources including Météo-France analogs, ECMWF, and Met Office guidance points to a maximum temperature of 24–25°C in Paris on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, southwesterly flow of mild Atlantic air, and limited daytime insolation after a period of unsettled conditions and cooling. This aligns closely with the long-term August 30 climatological average high of 24°C while reflecting a post-heat spell moderation that has kept recent daily maxima near 22–23°C. Ensemble spread remains modest for this 48-hour horizon, supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability on 24°C (39.5%) and 25°C (28.0%), with lower odds on 23°C reflecting residual model uncertainty around exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will provide the primary near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on August 30?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 30?
24°C 39%
25°C 28%
23°C 19%
26°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
19%
24°C
39%
25°C
28%
26°C
9%
27°C or higher
4%
24°C 39%
25°C 28%
23°C 19%
26°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
$1,194 KL.
<1%
18°C
$188 KL.
<1%
19°C
$198 KL.
<1%
20°C
$50 KL.
1%
21°C
$0 KL.
1%
22°C
$46 KL.
6%
23°C
$26 KL.
19%
24°C
$42 KL.
39%
25°C
$68 KL.
28%
26°C
$151 KL.
9%
27°C or higher
$0 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from sources including Météo-France analogs, ECMWF, and Met Office guidance points to a maximum temperature of 24–25°C in Paris on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, southwesterly flow of mild Atlantic air, and limited daytime insolation after a period of unsettled conditions and cooling. This aligns closely with the long-term August 30 climatological average high of 24°C while reflecting a post-heat spell moderation that has kept recent daily maxima near 22–23°C. Ensemble spread remains modest for this 48-hour horizon, supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability on 24°C (39.5%) and 25°C (28.0%), with lower odds on 23°C reflecting residual model uncertainty around exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will provide the primary near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,963Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from sources including Météo-France analogs, ECMWF, and Met Office guidance points to a maximum temperature of 24–25°C in Paris on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, southwesterly flow of mild Atlantic air, and limited daytime insolation after a period of unsettled conditions and cooling. This aligns closely with the long-term August 30 climatological average high of 24°C while reflecting a post-heat spell moderation that has kept recent daily maxima near 22–23°C. Ensemble spread remains modest for this 48-hour horizon, supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability on 24°C (39.5%) and 25°C (28.0%), with lower odds on 23°C reflecting residual model uncertainty around exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will provide the primary near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,963Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from sources including Météo-France analogs, ECMWF, and Met Office guidance points to a maximum temperature of 24–25°C in Paris on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, southwesterly flow of mild Atlantic air, and limited daytime insolation after a period of unsettled conditions and cooling. This aligns closely with the long-term August 30 climatological average high of 24°C while reflecting a post-heat spell moderation that has kept recent daily maxima near 22–23°C. Ensemble spread remains modest for this 48-hour horizon, supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability on 24°C (39.5%) and 25°C (28.0%), with lower odds on 23°C reflecting residual model uncertainty around exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will provide the primary near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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