Recent official forecasts from Shanghai meteorological sources project a daily maximum near 32°C on August 30 under humid conditions with southeast winds and scattered showers or overcast skies that limit daytime heating. Model consensus and recent observations align closely with this range, supporting the 57.5% market-implied odds for 32°C and secondary positioning of 31°C and 33°C. Persistent moisture and cloud cover from regional patterns reduce the likelihood of extremes, though minor forecast revisions in the final 24 hours could shift outcomes within the narrow band. Traders appear to weight local agency guidance heavily given the short time to resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 30?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 30?
32°C 57%
31°C 25%
33°C 10%
30°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
25%
32°C
57%
33°C
10%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 57%
31°C 25%
33°C 10%
30°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
$241 KL.
<1%
27°C
$35 KL.
<1%
28°C
$197 KL.
<1%
29°C
$260 KL.
2%
30°C
$243 KL.
4%
31°C
$958 KL.
25%
32°C
$1,277 KL.
57%
33°C
$814 KL.
10%
34°C
$214 KL.
2%
35°C
$122 KL.
<1%
36°C or higher
$198 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Shanghai meteorological sources project a daily maximum near 32°C on August 30 under humid conditions with southeast winds and scattered showers or overcast skies that limit daytime heating. Model consensus and recent observations align closely with this range, supporting the 57.5% market-implied odds for 32°C and secondary positioning of 31°C and 33°C. Persistent moisture and cloud cover from regional patterns reduce the likelihood of extremes, though minor forecast revisions in the final 24 hours could shift outcomes within the narrow band. Traders appear to weight local agency guidance heavily given the short time to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,558Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Shanghai meteorological sources project a daily maximum near 32°C on August 30 under humid conditions with southeast winds and scattered showers or overcast skies that limit daytime heating. Model consensus and recent observations align closely with this range, supporting the 57.5% market-implied odds for 32°C and secondary positioning of 31°C and 33°C. Persistent moisture and cloud cover from regional patterns reduce the likelihood of extremes, though minor forecast revisions in the final 24 hours could shift outcomes within the narrow band. Traders appear to weight local agency guidance heavily given the short time to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,558Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Shanghai meteorological sources project a daily maximum near 32°C on August 30 under humid conditions with southeast winds and scattered showers or overcast skies that limit daytime heating. Model consensus and recent observations align closely with this range, supporting the 57.5% market-implied odds for 32°C and secondary positioning of 31°C and 33°C. Persistent moisture and cloud cover from regional patterns reduce the likelihood of extremes, though minor forecast revisions in the final 24 hours could shift outcomes within the narrow band. Traders appear to weight local agency guidance heavily given the short time to resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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