Multiple independent weather models and official forecasts, including those from the Met Office and regional monitoring services, indicate Shanghai’s overnight minimum on August 29 will reach 27 °C under persistently warm, humid conditions with light easterly winds and limited radiative cooling. Observed nighttime temperatures have remained in the upper 20s °C through recent days, consistent with late-summer climatology and the absence of significant frontal passages or heavy precipitation that could enhance cooling. The 97.5 % market-implied probability for exactly 27 °C reflects this consensus, though modest uncertainty persists around precise station measurements or localized variations in cloud cover that could shift the recorded low by 1 °C in either direction before the calendar day ends.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 29?
27°C 98%
26°C 3%
25°C 2%
22°C or below <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
98%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 98%
26°C 3%
25°C 2%
22°C or below <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$212 KL.
<1%
23°C
$103 KL.
<1%
24°C
$115 KL.
<1%
25°C
$296 KL.
2%
26°C
$437 KL.
3%
27°C
$2,473 KL.
98%
28°C
$2,047 KL.
<1%
29°C
$276 KL.
<1%
30°C
$108 KL.
<1%
31°C
$103 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$103 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Multiple independent weather models and official forecasts, including those from the Met Office and regional monitoring services, indicate Shanghai’s overnight minimum on August 29 will reach 27 °C under persistently warm, humid conditions with light easterly winds and limited radiative cooling. Observed nighttime temperatures have remained in the upper 20s °C through recent days, consistent with late-summer climatology and the absence of significant frontal passages or heavy precipitation that could enhance cooling. The 97.5 % market-implied probability for exactly 27 °C reflects this consensus, though modest uncertainty persists around precise station measurements or localized variations in cloud cover that could shift the recorded low by 1 °C in either direction before the calendar day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$6,272Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Multiple independent weather models and official forecasts, including those from the Met Office and regional monitoring services, indicate Shanghai’s overnight minimum on August 29 will reach 27 °C under persistently warm, humid conditions with light easterly winds and limited radiative cooling. Observed nighttime temperatures have remained in the upper 20s °C through recent days, consistent with late-summer climatology and the absence of significant frontal passages or heavy precipitation that could enhance cooling. The 97.5 % market-implied probability for exactly 27 °C reflects this consensus, though modest uncertainty persists around precise station measurements or localized variations in cloud cover that could shift the recorded low by 1 °C in either direction before the calendar day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$6,272Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Multiple independent weather models and official forecasts, including those from the Met Office and regional monitoring services, indicate Shanghai’s overnight minimum on August 29 will reach 27 °C under persistently warm, humid conditions with light easterly winds and limited radiative cooling. Observed nighttime temperatures have remained in the upper 20s °C through recent days, consistent with late-summer climatology and the absence of significant frontal passages or heavy precipitation that could enhance cooling. The 97.5 % market-implied probability for exactly 27 °C reflects this consensus, though modest uncertainty persists around precise station measurements or localized variations in cloud cover that could shift the recorded low by 1 °C in either direction before the calendar day ends.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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