**Latest meteorological guidance points to a highest temperature in Tokyo on September 1 centered near 30–31 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southeast flow.** Model consensus from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles shows daytime maxima in this narrow band, consistent with early-September climatology (historical average high ~28–30 °C) as the subtropical high lingers but begins to weaken. Key differentiating factors include variable low-level moisture and cloud cover that modulate surface heating rates, plus minor differences in timing of peak insolation. With only 48 hours until resolution, small forecast adjustments in dew-point depression or wind shift could shift the observed maximum between adjacent degree bins, sustaining the tight market distribution around the 29–32 °C range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 1?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 1?
30°C 32%
31°C 26%
29°C 17%
32°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
17%
30°C
32%
31°C
26%
32°C
12%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 32%
31°C 26%
29°C 17%
32°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
26°C or below
$158 KL.
<1%
27°C
$1 KL.
2%
28°C
$247 KL.
6%
29°C
$443 KL.
17%
30°C
$205 KL.
32%
31°C
$190 KL.
26%
32°C
$278 KL.
12%
33°C
$56 KL.
5%
34°C
$70 KL.
2%
35°C
$38 KL.
1%
36°C or higher
$117 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest meteorological guidance points to a highest temperature in Tokyo on September 1 centered near 30–31 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southeast flow.** Model consensus from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles shows daytime maxima in this narrow band, consistent with early-September climatology (historical average high ~28–30 °C) as the subtropical high lingers but begins to weaken. Key differentiating factors include variable low-level moisture and cloud cover that modulate surface heating rates, plus minor differences in timing of peak insolation. With only 48 hours until resolution, small forecast adjustments in dew-point depression or wind shift could shift the observed maximum between adjacent degree bins, sustaining the tight market distribution around the 29–32 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,803Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest meteorological guidance points to a highest temperature in Tokyo on September 1 centered near 30–31 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southeast flow.** Model consensus from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles shows daytime maxima in this narrow band, consistent with early-September climatology (historical average high ~28–30 °C) as the subtropical high lingers but begins to weaken. Key differentiating factors include variable low-level moisture and cloud cover that modulate surface heating rates, plus minor differences in timing of peak insolation. With only 48 hours until resolution, small forecast adjustments in dew-point depression or wind shift could shift the observed maximum between adjacent degree bins, sustaining the tight market distribution around the 29–32 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,803Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Latest meteorological guidance points to a highest temperature in Tokyo on September 1 centered near 30–31 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southeast flow.** Model consensus from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles shows daytime maxima in this narrow band, consistent with early-September climatology (historical average high ~28–30 °C) as the subtropical high lingers but begins to weaken. Key differentiating factors include variable low-level moisture and cloud cover that modulate surface heating rates, plus minor differences in timing of peak insolation. With only 48 hours until resolution, small forecast adjustments in dew-point depression or wind shift could shift the observed maximum between adjacent degree bins, sustaining the tight market distribution around the 29–32 °C range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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