Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS ensembles, point to a daily maximum near 30–32°C in Karachi on September 3, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 31°C (49.5%) and 32°C (27%). Persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, high humidity near 65–80%, and partly cloudy skies are moderating daytime heating while preventing extremes. Historical climatology for early September shows typical highs of 27–31°C, providing a stable baseline that current guidance has not deviated from significantly. Minor model spread in afternoon cloud cover and wind speed keeps the 30°C and 32°C bins competitive but secondary, with probabilities above 33°C remaining low absent an unexpected clearing trend. Updated model runs ahead of the date will be the key catalyst for any shifts in trader positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Karachi on September 3?
Highest temperature in Karachi on September 3?
31°C 50%
32°C 26%
30°C 24%
33°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 3, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
24%
31°C
50%
32°C
26%
33°C
11%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 50%
32°C 26%
30°C 24%
33°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 3, 2026
26°C or below
$0 KL.
<1%
27°C
$0 KL.
1%
28°C
$5 KL.
4%
29°C
$7 KL.
11%
30°C
$0 KL.
24%
31°C
$43 KL.
50%
32°C
$0 KL.
26%
33°C
$0 KL.
11%
34°C
$0 KL.
4%
35°C
$5 KL.
<1%
36°C or higher
$0 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS ensembles, point to a daily maximum near 30–32°C in Karachi on September 3, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 31°C (49.5%) and 32°C (27%). Persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, high humidity near 65–80%, and partly cloudy skies are moderating daytime heating while preventing extremes. Historical climatology for early September shows typical highs of 27–31°C, providing a stable baseline that current guidance has not deviated from significantly. Minor model spread in afternoon cloud cover and wind speed keeps the 30°C and 32°C bins competitive but secondary, with probabilities above 33°C remaining low absent an unexpected clearing trend. Updated model runs ahead of the date will be the key catalyst for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$60Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS ensembles, point to a daily maximum near 30–32°C in Karachi on September 3, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 31°C (49.5%) and 32°C (27%). Persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, high humidity near 65–80%, and partly cloudy skies are moderating daytime heating while preventing extremes. Historical climatology for early September shows typical highs of 27–31°C, providing a stable baseline that current guidance has not deviated from significantly. Minor model spread in afternoon cloud cover and wind speed keeps the 30°C and 32°C bins competitive but secondary, with probabilities above 33°C remaining low absent an unexpected clearing trend. Updated model runs ahead of the date will be the key catalyst for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$60Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS ensembles, point to a daily maximum near 30–32°C in Karachi on September 3, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 31°C (49.5%) and 32°C (27%). Persistent southwesterly monsoon flow, high humidity near 65–80%, and partly cloudy skies are moderating daytime heating while preventing extremes. Historical climatology for early September shows typical highs of 27–31°C, providing a stable baseline that current guidance has not deviated from significantly. Minor model spread in afternoon cloud cover and wind speed keeps the 30°C and 32°C bins competitive but secondary, with probabilities above 33°C remaining low absent an unexpected clearing trend. Updated model runs ahead of the date will be the key catalyst for any shifts in trader positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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