Recent forecast consensus from models indicates a maximum temperature of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on September 3, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate westerly winds that limit daytime heating under a mild maritime air mass. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes, where 22°C holds 57.5% implied probability and 23°C follows at 33.5%, reflecting trader assessment of narrow uncertainty around the most probable range. The September 3 climatological average high of 20.6°C provides context, but current steering patterns and moisture are suppressing further warming. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 24 hours will refine the precise peak before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 3?
22°C 57%
23°C 33%
21°C 8%
24°C 3%
$10,626 KL.
$10,626 KL.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
8%
22°C
57%
23°C
33%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
<1%
22°C 57%
23°C 33%
21°C 8%
24°C 3%
$10,626 KL.
$10,626 KL.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
8%
22°C
57%
23°C
33%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models indicates a maximum temperature of 21–22°C in Amsterdam on September 3, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate westerly winds that limit daytime heating under a mild maritime air mass. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes, where 22°C holds 57.5% implied probability and 23°C follows at 33.5%, reflecting trader assessment of narrow uncertainty around the most probable range. The September 3 climatological average high of 20.6°C provides context, but current steering patterns and moisture are suppressing further warming. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 24 hours will refine the precise peak before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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