Recent cold front passage on September 2–3 has advected cooler maritime air into the region, suppressing daytime maxima and aligning forecasts for a September 4 high near 17–18 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow. Multiple models show minimal diurnal heating due to dry conditions and stable stratification, keeping the outcome tightly clustered around these values. This places the implied probability distribution in line with climatological norms slightly below the 19 °C September average, with resolution hinging on precise afternoon peak observations from official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 4?
18°C 38%
19°C 36%
17°C 21%
16°C 10%
12°C or below
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
4%
15°C
3%
16°C
10%
17°C
21%
18°C
28%
19°C
24%
20°C
5%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
4%
18°C 38%
19°C 36%
17°C 21%
16°C 10%
12°C or below
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
4%
15°C
3%
16°C
10%
17°C
21%
18°C
28%
19°C
24%
20°C
5%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold front passage on September 2–3 has advected cooler maritime air into the region, suppressing daytime maxima and aligning forecasts for a September 4 high near 17–18 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow. Multiple models show minimal diurnal heating due to dry conditions and stable stratification, keeping the outcome tightly clustered around these values. This places the implied probability distribution in line with climatological norms slightly below the 19 °C September average, with resolution hinging on precise afternoon peak observations from official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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