Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a Friday high near 97°F in Dallas under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 94–97°F outcomes. A weak front brought scattered storms and lower readings near 87–92°F on Thursday, but rapid re-warming is underway as high pressure rebuilds and dew points remain elevated, yielding heat indices above 100°F. Climatologically, the 1991–2020 average high for September 4 is 93°F, so the current setup favors values modestly above normal with only a 20% shower chance that is unlikely to suppress the maximum. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Dallas on September 4?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 4?
94-95°F 32%
96-97°F 27%
92-93°F 21%
98-99°F 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
85°F or below
3%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
21%
94-95°F
32%
96-97°F
27%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
7%
102-103°F
6%
104°F or higher
6%
94-95°F 32%
96-97°F 27%
92-93°F 21%
98-99°F 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
85°F or below
$48 KL.
3%
86-87°F
$0 KL.
6%
88-89°F
$0 KL.
8%
90-91°F
$0 KL.
6%
92-93°F
$106 KL.
21%
94-95°F
$24 KL.
32%
96-97°F
$0 KL.
27%
98-99°F
$0 KL.
16%
100-101°F
$0 KL.
7%
102-103°F
$0 KL.
6%
104°F or higher
$0 KL.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a Friday high near 97°F in Dallas under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 94–97°F outcomes. A weak front brought scattered storms and lower readings near 87–92°F on Thursday, but rapid re-warming is underway as high pressure rebuilds and dew points remain elevated, yielding heat indices above 100°F. Climatologically, the 1991–2020 average high for September 4 is 93°F, so the current setup favors values modestly above normal with only a 20% shower chance that is unlikely to suppress the maximum. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$178Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 3:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a Friday high near 97°F in Dallas under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 94–97°F outcomes. A weak front brought scattered storms and lower readings near 87–92°F on Thursday, but rapid re-warming is underway as high pressure rebuilds and dew points remain elevated, yielding heat indices above 100°F. Climatologically, the 1991–2020 average high for September 4 is 93°F, so the current setup favors values modestly above normal with only a 20% shower chance that is unlikely to suppress the maximum. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$178Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 3:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a Friday high near 97°F in Dallas under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, supporting the market's tight clustering around 94–97°F outcomes. A weak front brought scattered storms and lower readings near 87–92°F on Thursday, but rapid re-warming is underway as high pressure rebuilds and dew points remain elevated, yielding heat indices above 100°F. Climatologically, the 1991–2020 average high for September 4 is 93°F, so the current setup favors values modestly above normal with only a 20% shower chance that is unlikely to suppress the maximum. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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