Hong Kong's official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daily maximum near 31°C on September 2, shaped by Tropical Cyclone Saudel lingering nearby and the reinforcing northeasterly monsoon flow. These conditions sustain extensive cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate to fresh northerly winds that suppress daytime heating and promote mixing. Historical September climatology for the region shows similar post-monsoon setups rarely exceed this range without significant clearing. Model consensus across regional guidance supports this outcome with limited spread, though unexpected breaks in cloud or reduced wind speeds could allow isolated stations to reach 32–33°C and shift the recorded high. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 31°C reflects this evidence-based assessment of current atmospheric conditions and measurement criteria.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$128,707 KL.
$128,707 KL.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$128,707 KL.
$128,707 KL.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daily maximum near 31°C on September 2, shaped by Tropical Cyclone Saudel lingering nearby and the reinforcing northeasterly monsoon flow. These conditions sustain extensive cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate to fresh northerly winds that suppress daytime heating and promote mixing. Historical September climatology for the region shows similar post-monsoon setups rarely exceed this range without significant clearing. Model consensus across regional guidance supports this outcome with limited spread, though unexpected breaks in cloud or reduced wind speeds could allow isolated stations to reach 32–33°C and shift the recorded high. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 31°C reflects this evidence-based assessment of current atmospheric conditions and measurement criteria.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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