Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on sunny conditions with highs of 29–30°C for Qingdao on September 3, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime insolation. Moderate northeasterly winds of 3–5 m/s provide some coastal moderation, while low humidity supports efficient surface heating. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 30–32°C because small variations in peak timing, local sea-breeze effects, or model resolution of boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. With resolution just two days away, the balanced probabilities reflect uncertainty over whether maximum temperatures will reach or exceed the upper end of guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 3?
30°C 35%
31°C 32%
32°C 22%
29°C 12%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
12%
30°C
35%
31°C
32%
32°C
22%
33°C
7%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 35%
31°C 32%
32°C 22%
29°C 12%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
12%
30°C
35%
31°C
32%
32°C
22%
33°C
7%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on sunny conditions with highs of 29–30°C for Qingdao on September 3, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime insolation. Moderate northeasterly winds of 3–5 m/s provide some coastal moderation, while low humidity supports efficient surface heating. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 30–32°C because small variations in peak timing, local sea-breeze effects, or model resolution of boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. With resolution just two days away, the balanced probabilities reflect uncertainty over whether maximum temperatures will reach or exceed the upper end of guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp