Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models (ECMWF, GFS) project clear skies and northerly winds of 3–5 m/s for Qingdao on September 3, supporting a daily minimum near 19–21 °C after overnight radiative cooling under low humidity. This places the most probable range around 20 °C, yet market-implied odds favor 14 °C or below (42.5 %) alongside clustered probabilities near 15–19 °C. The divergence likely reflects residual model spread in coastal boundary-layer mixing and potential for stronger nocturnal advection if winds shift, while historical September minima average 18–20 °C. Updated model runs and local station observations tonight will clarify whether the consensus low holds or shifts lower.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 3?
23°C 49%
21°C 48%
22°C 48%
24°C or higher 47%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 3, 2026
14°C or below
43%
15°C
26%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
4%
21°C
48%
22°C
48%
23°C
49%
24°C or higher
47%
23°C 49%
21°C 48%
22°C 48%
24°C or higher 47%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 3, 2026
14°C or below
$5 KL.
43%
15°C
$0 KL.
26%
16°C
$0 KL.
27%
17°C
$0 KL.
27%
18°C
$0 KL.
26%
19°C
$0 KL.
26%
20°C
$4 KL.
4%
21°C
$20 KL.
48%
22°C
$20 KL.
48%
23°C
$5 KL.
49%
24°C or higher
$5 KL.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models (ECMWF, GFS) project clear skies and northerly winds of 3–5 m/s for Qingdao on September 3, supporting a daily minimum near 19–21 °C after overnight radiative cooling under low humidity. This places the most probable range around 20 °C, yet market-implied odds favor 14 °C or below (42.5 %) alongside clustered probabilities near 15–19 °C. The divergence likely reflects residual model spread in coastal boundary-layer mixing and potential for stronger nocturnal advection if winds shift, while historical September minima average 18–20 °C. Updated model runs and local station observations tonight will clarify whether the consensus low holds or shifts lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$59Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models (ECMWF, GFS) project clear skies and northerly winds of 3–5 m/s for Qingdao on September 3, supporting a daily minimum near 19–21 °C after overnight radiative cooling under low humidity. This places the most probable range around 20 °C, yet market-implied odds favor 14 °C or below (42.5 %) alongside clustered probabilities near 15–19 °C. The divergence likely reflects residual model spread in coastal boundary-layer mixing and potential for stronger nocturnal advection if winds shift, while historical September minima average 18–20 °C. Updated model runs and local station observations tonight will clarify whether the consensus low holds or shifts lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$59Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models (ECMWF, GFS) project clear skies and northerly winds of 3–5 m/s for Qingdao on September 3, supporting a daily minimum near 19–21 °C after overnight radiative cooling under low humidity. This places the most probable range around 20 °C, yet market-implied odds favor 14 °C or below (42.5 %) alongside clustered probabilities near 15–19 °C. The divergence likely reflects residual model spread in coastal boundary-layer mixing and potential for stronger nocturnal advection if winds shift, while historical September minima average 18–20 °C. Updated model runs and local station observations tonight will clarify whether the consensus low holds or shifts lower.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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