Current forecasts for Qingdao on September 4, 2026, show overnight lows near 19–21°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds, aligning with historical early-September averages of 19–20°C driven by Yellow Sea moderation. Coastal marine influence and residual summer warmth in sea-surface temperatures near 23–25°C limit radiative cooling, while the post-monsoon transition reduces extreme variability. The near-even market split between 24°C-or-higher and 14°C-or-below outcomes reflects model sensitivity to small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal timing that could alter nocturnal minimums by several degrees. Updated regional model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 4?
24°C or higher 84%
14°C or below 82%
16°C 50%
15°C 48%
14°C or below
82%
15°C
48%
16°C
50%
17°C
37%
18°C
26%
19°C
48%
20°C
48%
21°C
48%
22°C
2%
23°C
48%
24°C or higher
84%
24°C or higher 84%
14°C or below 82%
16°C 50%
15°C 48%
14°C or below
82%
15°C
48%
16°C
50%
17°C
37%
18°C
26%
19°C
48%
20°C
48%
21°C
48%
22°C
2%
23°C
48%
24°C or higher
84%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Qingdao on September 4, 2026, show overnight lows near 19–21°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds, aligning with historical early-September averages of 19–20°C driven by Yellow Sea moderation. Coastal marine influence and residual summer warmth in sea-surface temperatures near 23–25°C limit radiative cooling, while the post-monsoon transition reduces extreme variability. The near-even market split between 24°C-or-higher and 14°C-or-below outcomes reflects model sensitivity to small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal timing that could alter nocturnal minimums by several degrees. Updated regional model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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