Recent forecast models from sources like MetService and international ensembles indicate a mild early-spring day in Wellington driven by northwesterly flow advecting warmer air masses ahead of a weak front. Daytime maxima are projected near 14–15 °C under mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies with moderate winds, consistent with climatological norms for early September when average highs reach about 13–14 °C. The strong market weighting toward 16 °C reflects trader assessment that localized warming or model bias could push the official highest reading one degree above the central forecast cluster, while the secondary 17 °C and 15 °C options capture remaining ensemble spread. No major synoptic shifts are expected before the observation window closes, keeping lower and higher extremes at minimal implied probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on September 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 2?
16°C 66%
17°C 22%
15°C 11%
18°C 4%
MỚI
$14,531 KL.
MỚI
$14,531 KL.
Sep 2, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
11%
16°C
66%
17°C
22%
18°C
4%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 66%
17°C 22%
15°C 11%
18°C 4%
MỚI
$14,531 KL.
MỚI
$14,531 KL.
Sep 2, 2026
10°C or below
$315 KL.
<1%
11°C
$375 KL.
1%
12°C
$407 KL.
<1%
13°C
$710 KL.
<1%
14°C
$775 KL.
2%
15°C
$5,066 KL.
11%
16°C
$3,472 KL.
66%
17°C
$1,818 KL.
22%
18°C
$760 KL.
4%
19°C
$611 KL.
<1%
20°C or higher
$222 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like MetService and international ensembles indicate a mild early-spring day in Wellington driven by northwesterly flow advecting warmer air masses ahead of a weak front. Daytime maxima are projected near 14–15 °C under mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies with moderate winds, consistent with climatological norms for early September when average highs reach about 13–14 °C. The strong market weighting toward 16 °C reflects trader assessment that localized warming or model bias could push the official highest reading one degree above the central forecast cluster, while the secondary 17 °C and 15 °C options capture remaining ensemble spread. No major synoptic shifts are expected before the observation window closes, keeping lower and higher extremes at minimal implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$14,531Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like MetService and international ensembles indicate a mild early-spring day in Wellington driven by northwesterly flow advecting warmer air masses ahead of a weak front. Daytime maxima are projected near 14–15 °C under mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies with moderate winds, consistent with climatological norms for early September when average highs reach about 13–14 °C. The strong market weighting toward 16 °C reflects trader assessment that localized warming or model bias could push the official highest reading one degree above the central forecast cluster, while the secondary 17 °C and 15 °C options capture remaining ensemble spread. No major synoptic shifts are expected before the observation window closes, keeping lower and higher extremes at minimal implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$14,531Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like MetService and international ensembles indicate a mild early-spring day in Wellington driven by northwesterly flow advecting warmer air masses ahead of a weak front. Daytime maxima are projected near 14–15 °C under mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies with moderate winds, consistent with climatological norms for early September when average highs reach about 13–14 °C. The strong market weighting toward 16 °C reflects trader assessment that localized warming or model bias could push the official highest reading one degree above the central forecast cluster, while the secondary 17 °C and 15 °C options capture remaining ensemble spread. No major synoptic shifts are expected before the observation window closes, keeping lower and higher extremes at minimal implied probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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