Current National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 3 project overnight lows of 76–77°F under partly cloudy skies with a 30–50% chance of showers and thunderstorms, driven by southerly flow and moderate humidity. This aligns closely with climatological norms for early September but slightly above the 71°F average low, as persistent warmth and limited radiational cooling from cloud cover and moisture limit overnight drops. Model consensus across GFS and local guidance shows minimal spread in minimum temperatures, yet traders assign comparable implied probabilities to 69°F or below, 76–77°F, and even outlier highs near 88°F due to uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can alter cooling rates by several degrees. No significant frontal passage or dry-air intrusion appears imminent to shift the outlook before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Austin on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Austin on September 3?
88°F or higher 59%
69°F or below 52%
70-71°F 49%
76-77°F 33%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 3, 2026
69°F or below
52%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
18%
88°F or higher
59%
88°F or higher 59%
69°F or below 52%
70-71°F 49%
76-77°F 33%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 3, 2026
69°F or below
$10 KL.
52%
70-71°F
$10 KL.
49%
72-73°F
$0 KL.
26%
74-75°F
$0 KL.
26%
76-77°F
$0 KL.
33%
78-79°F
$0 KL.
31%
80-81°F
$0 KL.
26%
82-83°F
$0 KL.
25%
84-85°F
$10 KL.
18%
86-87°F
$10 KL.
18%
88°F or higher
$10 KL.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 3 project overnight lows of 76–77°F under partly cloudy skies with a 30–50% chance of showers and thunderstorms, driven by southerly flow and moderate humidity. This aligns closely with climatological norms for early September but slightly above the 71°F average low, as persistent warmth and limited radiational cooling from cloud cover and moisture limit overnight drops. Model consensus across GFS and local guidance shows minimal spread in minimum temperatures, yet traders assign comparable implied probabilities to 69°F or below, 76–77°F, and even outlier highs near 88°F due to uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can alter cooling rates by several degrees. No significant frontal passage or dry-air intrusion appears imminent to shift the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$50Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 3 project overnight lows of 76–77°F under partly cloudy skies with a 30–50% chance of showers and thunderstorms, driven by southerly flow and moderate humidity. This aligns closely with climatological norms for early September but slightly above the 71°F average low, as persistent warmth and limited radiational cooling from cloud cover and moisture limit overnight drops. Model consensus across GFS and local guidance shows minimal spread in minimum temperatures, yet traders assign comparable implied probabilities to 69°F or below, 76–77°F, and even outlier highs near 88°F due to uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can alter cooling rates by several degrees. No significant frontal passage or dry-air intrusion appears imminent to shift the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$50Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 3 project overnight lows of 76–77°F under partly cloudy skies with a 30–50% chance of showers and thunderstorms, driven by southerly flow and moderate humidity. This aligns closely with climatological norms for early September but slightly above the 71°F average low, as persistent warmth and limited radiational cooling from cloud cover and moisture limit overnight drops. Model consensus across GFS and local guidance shows minimal spread in minimum temperatures, yet traders assign comparable implied probabilities to 69°F or below, 76–77°F, and even outlier highs near 88°F due to uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can alter cooling rates by several degrees. No significant frontal passage or dry-air intrusion appears imminent to shift the outlook before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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