Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicates a mid- to upper-70s overnight low for Austin on September 2, driven by persistent southerly flow, moderate humidity, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. With only 48 hours until the minimum occurs, small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or any evening convection could easily move the outcome several degrees. Historical climatology shows an average low near 71 °F, yet recent Septembers have trended warmer; traders therefore assign roughly equal implied probability across bins centered on the forecast range while awaiting the next model update and official NWS point forecast.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Austin on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Austin on September 2?
69°F or below 100%
70-71°F 100%
72-73°F 100%
74-75°F 100%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
69°F or below
100%
70-71°F
100%
72-73°F
100%
74-75°F
100%
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
100%
80-81°F
100%
82-83°F
100%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
100%
88°F or higher
100%
69°F or below 100%
70-71°F 100%
72-73°F 100%
74-75°F 100%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
69°F or below
$0 KL.
100%
70-71°F
$0 KL.
100%
72-73°F
$0 KL.
100%
74-75°F
$0 KL.
100%
76-77°F
$0 KL.
100%
78-79°F
$0 KL.
100%
80-81°F
$0 KL.
100%
82-83°F
$0 KL.
100%
84-85°F
$0 KL.
100%
86-87°F
$0 KL.
100%
88°F or higher
$0 KL.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicates a mid- to upper-70s overnight low for Austin on September 2, driven by persistent southerly flow, moderate humidity, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. With only 48 hours until the minimum occurs, small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or any evening convection could easily move the outcome several degrees. Historical climatology shows an average low near 71 °F, yet recent Septembers have trended warmer; traders therefore assign roughly equal implied probability across bins centered on the forecast range while awaiting the next model update and official NWS point forecast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicates a mid- to upper-70s overnight low for Austin on September 2, driven by persistent southerly flow, moderate humidity, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. With only 48 hours until the minimum occurs, small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or any evening convection could easily move the outcome several degrees. Historical climatology shows an average low near 71 °F, yet recent Septembers have trended warmer; traders therefore assign roughly equal implied probability across bins centered on the forecast range while awaiting the next model update and official NWS point forecast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicates a mid- to upper-70s overnight low for Austin on September 2, driven by persistent southerly flow, moderate humidity, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. With only 48 hours until the minimum occurs, small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or any evening convection could easily move the outcome several degrees. Historical climatology shows an average low near 71 °F, yet recent Septembers have trended warmer; traders therefore assign roughly equal implied probability across bins centered on the forecast range while awaiting the next model update and official NWS point forecast.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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