Current National Weather Service and ensemble model forecasts for Miami on September 3 point to overnight lows near 80–81°F, driven by high humidity, persistent cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms, and light easterly flow that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s leading 80–81°F outcome at 40% implied probability. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 77°F, yet recent model runs have trended warmer amid above-normal sea-surface temperatures and weak steering patterns. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for any late-day cooling against the risk of heavier rain bands, while lower-probability outcomes below 75°F or above 90°F reflect residual uncertainty in short-range guidance ahead of daily NOAA forecast updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Miami on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 3?
92°F or higher 48%
86-87°F 41%
88-89°F 41%
90-91°F 41%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 3, 2026
73°F or below
25%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
38%
86-87°F
41%
88-89°F
41%
90-91°F
41%
92°F or higher
48%
92°F or higher 48%
86-87°F 41%
88-89°F 41%
90-91°F 41%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 3, 2026
73°F or below
$0 KL.
25%
74-75°F
$0 KL.
10%
76-77°F
$0 KL.
14%
78-79°F
$0 KL.
25%
80-81°F
$0 KL.
40%
82-83°F
$0 KL.
20%
84-85°F
$10 KL.
38%
86-87°F
$10 KL.
41%
88-89°F
$10 KL.
41%
90-91°F
$10 KL.
41%
92°F or higher
$10 KL.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model forecasts for Miami on September 3 point to overnight lows near 80–81°F, driven by high humidity, persistent cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms, and light easterly flow that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s leading 80–81°F outcome at 40% implied probability. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 77°F, yet recent model runs have trended warmer amid above-normal sea-surface temperatures and weak steering patterns. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for any late-day cooling against the risk of heavier rain bands, while lower-probability outcomes below 75°F or above 90°F reflect residual uncertainty in short-range guidance ahead of daily NOAA forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$50Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model forecasts for Miami on September 3 point to overnight lows near 80–81°F, driven by high humidity, persistent cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms, and light easterly flow that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s leading 80–81°F outcome at 40% implied probability. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 77°F, yet recent model runs have trended warmer amid above-normal sea-surface temperatures and weak steering patterns. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for any late-day cooling against the risk of heavier rain bands, while lower-probability outcomes below 75°F or above 90°F reflect residual uncertainty in short-range guidance ahead of daily NOAA forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$50Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model forecasts for Miami on September 3 point to overnight lows near 80–81°F, driven by high humidity, persistent cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms, and light easterly flow that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s leading 80–81°F outcome at 40% implied probability. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 77°F, yet recent model runs have trended warmer amid above-normal sea-surface temperatures and weak steering patterns. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for any late-day cooling against the risk of heavier rain bands, while lower-probability outcomes below 75°F or above 90°F reflect residual uncertainty in short-range guidance ahead of daily NOAA forecast updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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