**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including local outlets and airport data, indicate a low temperature for Denver on September 3 in the low-to-mid 60s °F (roughly 60–64 °F), driven by clear to mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of early September.** This setup allows efficient nocturnal radiational cooling but starts from relatively mild daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, limiting how far temperatures drop overnight. Historical averages for the date hover near 54 °F, yet 2026 conditions reflect warmer-than-normal guidance, consistent with recent model runs showing minimal cloud cover or frontal activity. Trader sentiment shows closely matched leading probabilities for 72 °F or higher (48.0%) versus 53 °F or below (39.5%), with mid-ranges like 60–61 °F (28.5%) and 62–63 °F (27.0%) also prominent. This distribution captures genuine forecast uncertainty in exact minimums—small shifts in dew points, wind speed, or residual moisture can alter the low by several degrees—while the market-implied odds reflect aggregated real-money assessment of model consensus from agencies like the National Weather Service. Upcoming evening model updates or observational tweaks could refine these probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Denver on September 3?
72°F or higher 96%
68-69°F 49%
53°F or below 40%
60-61°F 30%
53°F or below
40%
54-55°F
18%
56-57°F
21%
58-59°F
22%
60-61°F
30%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
25%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
2%
72°F or higher
96%
72°F or higher 96%
68-69°F 49%
53°F or below 40%
60-61°F 30%
53°F or below
40%
54-55°F
18%
56-57°F
21%
58-59°F
22%
60-61°F
30%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
25%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
2%
72°F or higher
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including local outlets and airport data, indicate a low temperature for Denver on September 3 in the low-to-mid 60s °F (roughly 60–64 °F), driven by clear to mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of early September.** This setup allows efficient nocturnal radiational cooling but starts from relatively mild daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, limiting how far temperatures drop overnight. Historical averages for the date hover near 54 °F, yet 2026 conditions reflect warmer-than-normal guidance, consistent with recent model runs showing minimal cloud cover or frontal activity. Trader sentiment shows closely matched leading probabilities for 72 °F or higher (48.0%) versus 53 °F or below (39.5%), with mid-ranges like 60–61 °F (28.5%) and 62–63 °F (27.0%) also prominent. This distribution captures genuine forecast uncertainty in exact minimums—small shifts in dew points, wind speed, or residual moisture can alter the low by several degrees—while the market-implied odds reflect aggregated real-money assessment of model consensus from agencies like the National Weather Service. Upcoming evening model updates or observational tweaks could refine these probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp