Latest forecasts for Guangzhou on September 2 point to an overnight low near 24°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity that limit radiative cooling after recent monsoon-influenced rainfall. Northerly winds of 10–15 km/h may advect marginally cooler air, while model consensus from regional ensembles shows minimal clearing overnight. Historical September averages place the typical low at 25°C, but current conditions favor slightly suppressed minima. Market-implied odds cluster around 23–24°C because small differences in cloud persistence or wind timing could shift the low by 1°C, with drier or clearer scenarios supporting 25°C+ and stronger cooling favoring 22°C or below. Updated model runs and local observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 2?
23°C 99%
25°C 99%
28°C 97%
26°C 95%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
6%
21°C
55%
22°C
20%
23°C
99%
24°C
57%
25°C
99%
26°C
95%
27°C
86%
28°C
97%
29°C or higher
38%
23°C 99%
25°C 99%
28°C 97%
26°C 95%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
6%
21°C
55%
22°C
20%
23°C
99%
24°C
57%
25°C
99%
26°C
95%
27°C
86%
28°C
97%
29°C or higher
38%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts for Guangzhou on September 2 point to an overnight low near 24°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity that limit radiative cooling after recent monsoon-influenced rainfall. Northerly winds of 10–15 km/h may advect marginally cooler air, while model consensus from regional ensembles shows minimal clearing overnight. Historical September averages place the typical low at 25°C, but current conditions favor slightly suppressed minima. Market-implied odds cluster around 23–24°C because small differences in cloud persistence or wind timing could shift the low by 1°C, with drier or clearer scenarios supporting 25°C+ and stronger cooling favoring 22°C or below. Updated model runs and local observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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