Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no points to a daily maximum of 22–24°C in Mexico City on September 2, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and convective showers tied to the peak of the North American monsoon season are suppressing surface heating at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, while light southerly flow limits warm advection. Historical climatology shows early-September highs averaging near 22°C under similar conditions; any brief clearing could push readings toward 25°C, but widespread precipitation through the afternoon favors the lower end of the distribution. Updated short-range guidance later today will refine the precise peak timing ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 2?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 2?
24°C 45%
23°C 28%
25°C 16%
22°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
6%
23°C
28%
24°C
45%
25°C
16%
26°C or higher
6%
24°C 45%
23°C 28%
25°C 16%
22°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
16°C or below
$200 KL.
<1%
17°C
$200 KL.
<1%
18°C
$215 KL.
<1%
19°C
$320 KL.
1%
20°C
$181 KL.
<1%
21°C
$220 KL.
4%
22°C
$499 KL.
6%
23°C
$735 KL.
28%
24°C
$1,484 KL.
45%
25°C
$1,054 KL.
16%
26°C or higher
$215 KL.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no points to a daily maximum of 22–24°C in Mexico City on September 2, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and convective showers tied to the peak of the North American monsoon season are suppressing surface heating at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, while light southerly flow limits warm advection. Historical climatology shows early-September highs averaging near 22°C under similar conditions; any brief clearing could push readings toward 25°C, but widespread precipitation through the afternoon favors the lower end of the distribution. Updated short-range guidance later today will refine the precise peak timing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,324Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no points to a daily maximum of 22–24°C in Mexico City on September 2, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and convective showers tied to the peak of the North American monsoon season are suppressing surface heating at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, while light southerly flow limits warm advection. Historical climatology shows early-September highs averaging near 22°C under similar conditions; any brief clearing could push readings toward 25°C, but widespread precipitation through the afternoon favors the lower end of the distribution. Updated short-range guidance later today will refine the precise peak timing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$5,324Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no points to a daily maximum of 22–24°C in Mexico City on September 2, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and convective showers tied to the peak of the North American monsoon season are suppressing surface heating at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, while light southerly flow limits warm advection. Historical climatology shows early-September highs averaging near 22°C under similar conditions; any brief clearing could push readings toward 25°C, but widespread precipitation through the afternoon favors the lower end of the distribution. Updated short-range guidance later today will refine the precise peak timing ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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