Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 2026 indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures alongside normal-to-below-normal rainfall, driven by strengthening anticyclonic conditions in the latter half of the month and an emerging El Niño pattern that can steer western North Pacific cyclones away from the South China Sea. Early-month Tropical Cyclone Saudel and northeast monsoon interaction are producing squally showers, yet model consensus points to limited additional accumulation as the season transitions toward drier autumn patterns. Historical September totals average 265–321 mm with high interannual variability tied to cyclone frequency, supporting trader emphasis on the sub-275 mm bin amid wide uncertainty ranges in extended precipitation outlooks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPrecipitation in Hong Kong in September?
Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?
<275mm 49%
275-300mm 16%
325-350mm 10%
300-325mm 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 30, 2026
<275mm
49%
275-300mm
16%
300-325mm
7%
325-350mm
10%
350-375mm
7%
375-400mm
6%
400-450mm
8%
450-500mm
5%
500-550mm
5%
550mm+
4%
<275mm 49%
275-300mm 16%
325-350mm 10%
300-325mm 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 30, 2026
<275mm
$2,172 KL.
49%
275-300mm
$128 KL.
16%
300-325mm
$128 KL.
7%
325-350mm
$128 KL.
10%
350-375mm
$125 KL.
7%
375-400mm
$125 KL.
6%
400-450mm
$150 KL.
8%
450-500mm
$168 KL.
5%
500-550mm
$149 KL.
5%
550mm+
$150 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between September 1 and September 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in September 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 2026 indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures alongside normal-to-below-normal rainfall, driven by strengthening anticyclonic conditions in the latter half of the month and an emerging El Niño pattern that can steer western North Pacific cyclones away from the South China Sea. Early-month Tropical Cyclone Saudel and northeast monsoon interaction are producing squally showers, yet model consensus points to limited additional accumulation as the season transitions toward drier autumn patterns. Historical September totals average 265–321 mm with high interannual variability tied to cyclone frequency, supporting trader emphasis on the sub-275 mm bin amid wide uncertainty ranges in extended precipitation outlooks.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between September 1 and September 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in September 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in September 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 9:41 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,421Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 9:41 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between September 1 and September 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in September 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 2026 indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures alongside normal-to-below-normal rainfall, driven by strengthening anticyclonic conditions in the latter half of the month and an emerging El Niño pattern that can steer western North Pacific cyclones away from the South China Sea. Early-month Tropical Cyclone Saudel and northeast monsoon interaction are producing squally showers, yet model consensus points to limited additional accumulation as the season transitions toward drier autumn patterns. Historical September totals average 265–321 mm with high interannual variability tied to cyclone frequency, supporting trader emphasis on the sub-275 mm bin amid wide uncertainty ranges in extended precipitation outlooks.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between September 1 and September 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in September 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in September 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$3,421Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 9:41 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 2026 indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures alongside normal-to-below-normal rainfall, driven by strengthening anticyclonic conditions in the latter half of the month and an emerging El Niño pattern that can steer western North Pacific cyclones away from the South China Sea. Early-month Tropical Cyclone Saudel and northeast monsoon interaction are producing squally showers, yet model consensus points to limited additional accumulation as the season transitions toward drier autumn patterns. Historical September totals average 265–321 mm with high interannual variability tied to cyclone frequency, supporting trader emphasis on the sub-275 mm bin amid wide uncertainty ranges in extended precipitation outlooks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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