Forecast consensus from multiple models positions a daily maximum near 32°C as the dominant outcome for Tel Aviv on September 1, reflecting typical early-autumn Mediterranean conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and moderating sea-breeze effects that cap daytime heating. Recent runs show highs of 30–33°C, closely tracking the long-term early-September average of about 30°C while ruling out stronger heat advection or cloud cover that could shift extremes. Trader-implied probabilities align with this narrow range, as official station measurements—likely from the Israel Meteorological Service—will resolve the market once final observations are confirmed. No major forecast revisions have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter the outlook.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 1?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 1?
32°C 79%
33°C 18%
31°C 1.4%
30°C or below <1%
MỚI
$21,726 KL.
MỚI
$21,726 KL.
Sep 1, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
79%
33°C
18%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
32°C 79%
33°C 18%
31°C 1.4%
30°C or below <1%
MỚI
$21,726 KL.
MỚI
$21,726 KL.
Sep 1, 2026
30°C or below
$891 KL.
<1%
31°C
$6,094 KL.
1%
32°C
$4,490 KL.
79%
33°C
$6,024 KL.
18%
34°C
$1,107 KL.
<1%
35°C
$88 KL.
<1%
36°C
$760 KL.
<1%
37°C
$1,196 KL.
<1%
38°C
$395 KL.
<1%
39°C
$340 KL.
<1%
40°C or higher
$340 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models positions a daily maximum near 32°C as the dominant outcome for Tel Aviv on September 1, reflecting typical early-autumn Mediterranean conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and moderating sea-breeze effects that cap daytime heating. Recent runs show highs of 30–33°C, closely tracking the long-term early-September average of about 30°C while ruling out stronger heat advection or cloud cover that could shift extremes. Trader-implied probabilities align with this narrow range, as official station measurements—likely from the Israel Meteorological Service—will resolve the market once final observations are confirmed. No major forecast revisions have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$21,726Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models positions a daily maximum near 32°C as the dominant outcome for Tel Aviv on September 1, reflecting typical early-autumn Mediterranean conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and moderating sea-breeze effects that cap daytime heating. Recent runs show highs of 30–33°C, closely tracking the long-term early-September average of about 30°C while ruling out stronger heat advection or cloud cover that could shift extremes. Trader-implied probabilities align with this narrow range, as official station measurements—likely from the Israel Meteorological Service—will resolve the market once final observations are confirmed. No major forecast revisions have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$21,726Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models positions a daily maximum near 32°C as the dominant outcome for Tel Aviv on September 1, reflecting typical early-autumn Mediterranean conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and moderating sea-breeze effects that cap daytime heating. Recent runs show highs of 30–33°C, closely tracking the long-term early-September average of about 30°C while ruling out stronger heat advection or cloud cover that could shift extremes. Trader-implied probabilities align with this narrow range, as official station measurements—likely from the Israel Meteorological Service—will resolve the market once final observations are confirmed. No major forecast revisions have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter the outlook.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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