Traders see near-even odds between 22–25°C for Tel Aviv’s September 2 minimum because official forecasts cluster tightly around 24–26°C under clear, stable high-pressure conditions with light northwesterly winds and high humidity typical of the Mediterranean coast. Multiple models show overnight lows near 25°C (77°F), consistent with seasonal averages, yet small differences in resolution timing, sea-breeze onset, or station microclimate create genuine uncertainty at the 1–3°C level. With no incoming fronts or significant cloud cover expected, the outcome hinges on precise early-morning observations rather than major weather shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 2?
22°C 97%
24°C 51%
26°C 49%
23°C 48%
19°C or below
11%
20°C
1%
21°C
47%
22°C
97%
23°C
48%
24°C
51%
25°C
50%
26°C
49%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 97%
24°C 51%
26°C 49%
23°C 48%
19°C or below
11%
20°C
1%
21°C
47%
22°C
97%
23°C
48%
24°C
51%
25°C
50%
26°C
49%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Traders see near-even odds between 22–25°C for Tel Aviv’s September 2 minimum because official forecasts cluster tightly around 24–26°C under clear, stable high-pressure conditions with light northwesterly winds and high humidity typical of the Mediterranean coast. Multiple models show overnight lows near 25°C (77°F), consistent with seasonal averages, yet small differences in resolution timing, sea-breeze onset, or station microclimate create genuine uncertainty at the 1–3°C level. With no incoming fronts or significant cloud cover expected, the outcome hinges on precise early-morning observations rather than major weather shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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