**Latest numerical weather predictions place Amsterdam's September 1 maximum near 20 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow.** Multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance valid as of 30 August, show surface high pressure near 1020 hPa building over the North Sea, suppressing strong advection while allowing broken cloud that limits peak insolation. This setup produces daytime highs clustered between 19–21 °C, with ensemble spreads reflecting small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. The market's near-even split between the 20 °C (44.5 %) and 21 °C (40.0 %) contracts mirrors this tight uncertainty range, as traders weigh the precise diurnal peak against historical early-September climatology of roughly 19–20 °C. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the outcome resolution sensitive to the final 12–24 hours of observational updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 1?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 1?
20°C 45%
21°C 40%
19°C 14%
22°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
14%
20°C
45%
21°C
40%
22°C
6%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 45%
21°C 40%
19°C 14%
22°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
15°C or below
$0 KL.
<1%
16°C
$49 KL.
<1%
17°C
$0 KL.
2%
18°C
$0 KL.
4%
19°C
$0 KL.
14%
20°C
$8 KL.
45%
21°C
$164 KL.
40%
22°C
$0 KL.
6%
23°C
$0 KL.
2%
24°C
$0 KL.
<1%
25°C or higher
$0 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather predictions place Amsterdam's September 1 maximum near 20 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow.** Multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance valid as of 30 August, show surface high pressure near 1020 hPa building over the North Sea, suppressing strong advection while allowing broken cloud that limits peak insolation. This setup produces daytime highs clustered between 19–21 °C, with ensemble spreads reflecting small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. The market's near-even split between the 20 °C (44.5 %) and 21 °C (40.0 %) contracts mirrors this tight uncertainty range, as traders weigh the precise diurnal peak against historical early-September climatology of roughly 19–20 °C. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the outcome resolution sensitive to the final 12–24 hours of observational updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$221Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather predictions place Amsterdam's September 1 maximum near 20 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow.** Multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance valid as of 30 August, show surface high pressure near 1020 hPa building over the North Sea, suppressing strong advection while allowing broken cloud that limits peak insolation. This setup produces daytime highs clustered between 19–21 °C, with ensemble spreads reflecting small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. The market's near-even split between the 20 °C (44.5 %) and 21 °C (40.0 %) contracts mirrors this tight uncertainty range, as traders weigh the precise diurnal peak against historical early-September climatology of roughly 19–20 °C. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the outcome resolution sensitive to the final 12–24 hours of observational updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$221Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Latest numerical weather predictions place Amsterdam's September 1 maximum near 20 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow.** Multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance valid as of 30 August, show surface high pressure near 1020 hPa building over the North Sea, suppressing strong advection while allowing broken cloud that limits peak insolation. This setup produces daytime highs clustered between 19–21 °C, with ensemble spreads reflecting small differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. The market's near-even split between the 20 °C (44.5 %) and 21 °C (40.0 %) contracts mirrors this tight uncertainty range, as traders weigh the precise diurnal peak against historical early-September climatology of roughly 19–20 °C. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the outcome resolution sensitive to the final 12–24 hours of observational updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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