Recent National Weather Service observations confirm a minimum temperature of 62°F at San Francisco International Airport on September 2, 2026, six degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of 56°F and consistent with downtown readings near 61°F. An early-season frontal system and persistent marine layer suppressed overnight cooling while delivering light rain and haze, keeping the low elevated relative to typical September conditions. This verified data anchors the market's overwhelming 100% implied probability on the 62–63°F bin. A lower outcome would require resolution criteria tied to a specific downtown or microclimate station reporting 60°F or below, or post-event data revisions, though current official summaries make such shifts unlikely.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in San Francisco on September 2?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 2?
62-63°F 98%
49°F or below 20%
50-51°F 20%
52-53°F 20%
$837 KL.
$837 KL.
Sep 2, 2026
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
Yes
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
No
62-63°F 98%
49°F or below 20%
50-51°F 20%
52-53°F 20%
$837 KL.
$837 KL.
Sep 2, 2026
49°F or below
$27 KL.
No
50-51°F
$37 KL.
No
52-53°F
$22 KL.
No
54-55°F
$17 KL.
No
56-57°F
$359 KL.
No
58-59°F
$72 KL.
No
60-61°F
$65 KL.
No
62-63°F
$99 KL.
Yes
64-65°F
$47 KL.
No
66-67°F
$27 KL.
No
68°F or higher
$65 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service observations confirm a minimum temperature of 62°F at San Francisco International Airport on September 2, 2026, six degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of 56°F and consistent with downtown readings near 61°F. An early-season frontal system and persistent marine layer suppressed overnight cooling while delivering light rain and haze, keeping the low elevated relative to typical September conditions. This verified data anchors the market's overwhelming 100% implied probability on the 62–63°F bin. A lower outcome would require resolution criteria tied to a specific downtown or microclimate station reporting 60°F or below, or post-event data revisions, though current official summaries make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$837Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service observations confirm a minimum temperature of 62°F at San Francisco International Airport on September 2, 2026, six degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of 56°F and consistent with downtown readings near 61°F. An early-season frontal system and persistent marine layer suppressed overnight cooling while delivering light rain and haze, keeping the low elevated relative to typical September conditions. This verified data anchors the market's overwhelming 100% implied probability on the 62–63°F bin. A lower outcome would require resolution criteria tied to a specific downtown or microclimate station reporting 60°F or below, or post-event data revisions, though current official summaries make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$837Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent National Weather Service observations confirm a minimum temperature of 62°F at San Francisco International Airport on September 2, 2026, six degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of 56°F and consistent with downtown readings near 61°F. An early-season frontal system and persistent marine layer suppressed overnight cooling while delivering light rain and haze, keeping the low elevated relative to typical September conditions. This verified data anchors the market's overwhelming 100% implied probability on the 62–63°F bin. A lower outcome would require resolution criteria tied to a specific downtown or microclimate station reporting 60°F or below, or post-event data revisions, though current official summaries make such shifts unlikely.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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