**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City on August 25 centers on the near-even split between 25°C and 26°C, reflecting uncertainty in overnight cooling under typical rainy-season conditions.** August climatology shows average lows of 23–25°C amid high humidity (around 80–85%) and frequent cloud cover that limits radiative heat loss. On the 25th, model guidance and local observations pointed to variable convection and lingering moisture, with forecast lows hovering near 25°C; any reduction in cloud cover or lighter winds could allow slightly greater cooling to 25°C or below, while persistent humidity and showers would cap the drop at 26°C. Historical analogs indicate rare dips below 23°C in August, explaining the low probabilities for cooler outcomes, while the tight 51–49% divide underscores how small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any showers can shift the daily minimum by 1°C. Updated surface observations and model consensus on cooling rates will likely resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Panama City on August 25?
21°C or below 10%
22°C 1.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$2,946 KL.
$2,946 KL.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
21°C or below 10%
22°C 1.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$2,946 KL.
$2,946 KL.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City on August 25 centers on the near-even split between 25°C and 26°C, reflecting uncertainty in overnight cooling under typical rainy-season conditions.** August climatology shows average lows of 23–25°C amid high humidity (around 80–85%) and frequent cloud cover that limits radiative heat loss. On the 25th, model guidance and local observations pointed to variable convection and lingering moisture, with forecast lows hovering near 25°C; any reduction in cloud cover or lighter winds could allow slightly greater cooling to 25°C or below, while persistent humidity and showers would cap the drop at 26°C. Historical analogs indicate rare dips below 23°C in August, explaining the low probabilities for cooler outcomes, while the tight 51–49% divide underscores how small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any showers can shift the daily minimum by 1°C. Updated surface observations and model consensus on cooling rates will likely resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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