Current forecasts from MetService-aligned models and international sources indicate a high of 14–15°C for Wellington on August 25 under northwesterly flow, with partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies and sustained winds of 15–25 km/h. Recent strong gusts from the Tasman Sea have advected warmer air northward, producing unseasonal warmth earlier in the week, but this pattern is easing toward more typical late-winter conditions. Differentiation among the 14°C, 15°C, and 16°C outcomes hinges on minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind backing, and cloud timing that could add or subtract 1°C at the official observation site. Historical August maxima average near 13–15°C, leaving limited scope for outliers above 16°C or below 14°C given stable model consensus through the short lead time.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on August 25?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 25?
16°C 45%
15°C 35%
17°C 20%
14°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 25, 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
8%
15°C
31%
16°C
45%
17°C
18%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 45%
15°C 35%
17°C 20%
14°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 25, 2026
10°C or below
$12 KL.
1%
11°C
$0 KL.
1%
12°C
$0 KL.
1%
13°C
$0 KL.
1%
14°C
$0 KL.
8%
15°C
$32 KL.
31%
16°C
$0 KL.
45%
17°C
$39 KL.
18%
18°C
$0 KL.
3%
19°C
$0 KL.
6%
20°C or higher
$12 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService-aligned models and international sources indicate a high of 14–15°C for Wellington on August 25 under northwesterly flow, with partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies and sustained winds of 15–25 km/h. Recent strong gusts from the Tasman Sea have advected warmer air northward, producing unseasonal warmth earlier in the week, but this pattern is easing toward more typical late-winter conditions. Differentiation among the 14°C, 15°C, and 16°C outcomes hinges on minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind backing, and cloud timing that could add or subtract 1°C at the official observation site. Historical August maxima average near 13–15°C, leaving limited scope for outliers above 16°C or below 14°C given stable model consensus through the short lead time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$95Ngày kết thúc
Aug 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService-aligned models and international sources indicate a high of 14–15°C for Wellington on August 25 under northwesterly flow, with partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies and sustained winds of 15–25 km/h. Recent strong gusts from the Tasman Sea have advected warmer air northward, producing unseasonal warmth earlier in the week, but this pattern is easing toward more typical late-winter conditions. Differentiation among the 14°C, 15°C, and 16°C outcomes hinges on minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind backing, and cloud timing that could add or subtract 1°C at the official observation site. Historical August maxima average near 13–15°C, leaving limited scope for outliers above 16°C or below 14°C given stable model consensus through the short lead time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$95Ngày kết thúc
Aug 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from MetService-aligned models and international sources indicate a high of 14–15°C for Wellington on August 25 under northwesterly flow, with partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies and sustained winds of 15–25 km/h. Recent strong gusts from the Tasman Sea have advected warmer air northward, producing unseasonal warmth earlier in the week, but this pattern is easing toward more typical late-winter conditions. Differentiation among the 14°C, 15°C, and 16°C outcomes hinges on minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind backing, and cloud timing that could add or subtract 1°C at the official observation site. Historical August maxima average near 13–15°C, leaving limited scope for outliers above 16°C or below 14°C given stable model consensus through the short lead time.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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