Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Europe sustaining daytime highs near 33–34 °C in Munich on August 9, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Subtle differences between the leading brackets hinge on projected 850 hPa temperatures, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective cloud cover that could cap the maximum. With the event only 48 hours away, updated model runs and official DWD guidance on surface wind patterns and moisture advection will drive any further shifts in trader sentiment before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on August 9?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 9?
33°C 35%
34°C 29%
32°C 18%
31°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
18%
33°C
35%
34°C
29%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 35%
34°C 29%
32°C 18%
31°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
$2,069 KL.
1%
28°C
$12 KL.
1%
29°C
$2 KL.
2%
30°C
$2 KL.
4%
31°C
$0 KL.
8%
32°C
$66 KL.
18%
33°C
$60 KL.
35%
34°C
$7 KL.
29%
35°C
$0 KL.
5%
36°C
$12 KL.
2%
37°C or higher
$12 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Europe sustaining daytime highs near 33–34 °C in Munich on August 9, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Subtle differences between the leading brackets hinge on projected 850 hPa temperatures, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective cloud cover that could cap the maximum. With the event only 48 hours away, updated model runs and official DWD guidance on surface wind patterns and moisture advection will drive any further shifts in trader sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,242Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Europe sustaining daytime highs near 33–34 °C in Munich on August 9, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Subtle differences between the leading brackets hinge on projected 850 hPa temperatures, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective cloud cover that could cap the maximum. With the event only 48 hours away, updated model runs and official DWD guidance on surface wind patterns and moisture advection will drive any further shifts in trader sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,242Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Europe sustaining daytime highs near 33–34 °C in Munich on August 9, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Subtle differences between the leading brackets hinge on projected 850 hPa temperatures, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective cloud cover that could cap the maximum. With the event only 48 hours away, updated model runs and official DWD guidance on surface wind patterns and moisture advection will drive any further shifts in trader sentiment before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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