Official PAGASA forecasts for August 13 point to a 26–32°C range in Manila under active Southwest Monsoon flow, with 60–100% rain chances moderating peak heating through persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. This aligns with trader emphasis on 29–31°C outcomes, as monsoon-driven moisture and reduced solar insolation typically cap highs near the 31°C August climatological average. Recent heavy-rainfall outlooks reinforce suppressed temperature extremes, while minor model spread in steering patterns and convective timing accounts for the close probabilities across 29–32°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these moisture and insolation variables.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on August 13?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 13?
30°C 33%
31°C 28%
29°C 26%
32°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
7%
29°C
26%
30°C
33%
31°C
28%
32°C
12%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 33%
31°C 28%
29°C 26%
32°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
25°C or below
$28 KL.
<1%
26°C
$13 KL.
1%
27°C
$27 KL.
5%
28°C
$103 KL.
7%
29°C
$54 KL.
26%
30°C
$14 KL.
33%
31°C
$26 KL.
28%
32°C
$137 KL.
12%
33°C
$429 KL.
2%
34°C
$5 KL.
2%
35°C or higher
$121 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official PAGASA forecasts for August 13 point to a 26–32°C range in Manila under active Southwest Monsoon flow, with 60–100% rain chances moderating peak heating through persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. This aligns with trader emphasis on 29–31°C outcomes, as monsoon-driven moisture and reduced solar insolation typically cap highs near the 31°C August climatological average. Recent heavy-rainfall outlooks reinforce suppressed temperature extremes, while minor model spread in steering patterns and convective timing accounts for the close probabilities across 29–32°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these moisture and insolation variables.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$956Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official PAGASA forecasts for August 13 point to a 26–32°C range in Manila under active Southwest Monsoon flow, with 60–100% rain chances moderating peak heating through persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. This aligns with trader emphasis on 29–31°C outcomes, as monsoon-driven moisture and reduced solar insolation typically cap highs near the 31°C August climatological average. Recent heavy-rainfall outlooks reinforce suppressed temperature extremes, while minor model spread in steering patterns and convective timing accounts for the close probabilities across 29–32°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these moisture and insolation variables.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$956Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official PAGASA forecasts for August 13 point to a 26–32°C range in Manila under active Southwest Monsoon flow, with 60–100% rain chances moderating peak heating through persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms. This aligns with trader emphasis on 29–31°C outcomes, as monsoon-driven moisture and reduced solar insolation typically cap highs near the 31°C August climatological average. Recent heavy-rainfall outlooks reinforce suppressed temperature extremes, while minor model spread in steering patterns and convective timing accounts for the close probabilities across 29–32°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these moisture and insolation variables.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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