**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a highest temperature in Munich on August 24, 2026, most likely between 23–25°C under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk.** This aligns directly with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 24°C (37%), 23°C (25%), and 25°C (20%). Key scientific drivers include a stable high-pressure pattern promoting diurnal warming without strong southerly advection or clear-sky amplification that could push temperatures higher. Easterly flow from the continent limits moisture and heat transport, while partial cloud cover moderates peak insolation. These conditions match the long-term August 24 climatological average high of 23.4°C and recent model consensus showing no heatwave setup or anomalous warmth. Recent data as of August 22 show consistent guidance across sources with no significant forecast shifts in the past 24–48 hours. Low precipitation probabilities (near 5%) and moderate humidity further support contained daytime maxima, keeping extreme outcomes like 28°C+ at just 2% implied probability. Updated model runs or any unexpected clearing could nudge values slightly higher within the 23–25°C range, but current evidence points to stable, near-normal late-summer conditions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on August 24?
24°C 37%
23°C 25%
25°C 20%
22°C 10%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
10%
23°C
25%
24°C
37%
25°C
20%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
4%
24°C 37%
23°C 25%
25°C 20%
22°C 10%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
10%
23°C
25%
24°C
37%
25°C
20%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a highest temperature in Munich on August 24, 2026, most likely between 23–25°C under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk.** This aligns directly with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 24°C (37%), 23°C (25%), and 25°C (20%). Key scientific drivers include a stable high-pressure pattern promoting diurnal warming without strong southerly advection or clear-sky amplification that could push temperatures higher. Easterly flow from the continent limits moisture and heat transport, while partial cloud cover moderates peak insolation. These conditions match the long-term August 24 climatological average high of 23.4°C and recent model consensus showing no heatwave setup or anomalous warmth. Recent data as of August 22 show consistent guidance across sources with no significant forecast shifts in the past 24–48 hours. Low precipitation probabilities (near 5%) and moderate humidity further support contained daytime maxima, keeping extreme outcomes like 28°C+ at just 2% implied probability. Updated model runs or any unexpected clearing could nudge values slightly higher within the 23–25°C range, but current evidence points to stable, near-normal late-summer conditions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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