Recent forecasts from meteorological services indicate a likely minimum temperature in Wuhan of 24–28°C on August 29, with several models converging near 25–27°C amid increasing cloud cover and precipitation. An approaching rain system, linked to peripheral influences from distant tropical activity, is expected to enhance overnight cooling through reduced radiational heating while also introducing model spread in exact timing and intensity of showers. Stronger northerly winds and elevated humidity further moderate diurnal ranges compared to the preceding hot, clear period. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 25–26°C because official guidance shows overlapping ranges across ensemble runs, with lower outcomes like 24°C gaining traction if heavier rainfall arrives earlier than projected. Updated model outputs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 29?
32°C or higher 85%
25°C 45%
26°C 45%
24°C 43%
22°C or below
43%
23°C
10%
24°C
43%
25°C
45%
26°C
45%
27°C
26%
28°C
43%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
85%
32°C or higher 85%
25°C 45%
26°C 45%
24°C 43%
22°C or below
43%
23°C
10%
24°C
43%
25°C
45%
26°C
45%
27°C
26%
28°C
43%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
85%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological services indicate a likely minimum temperature in Wuhan of 24–28°C on August 29, with several models converging near 25–27°C amid increasing cloud cover and precipitation. An approaching rain system, linked to peripheral influences from distant tropical activity, is expected to enhance overnight cooling through reduced radiational heating while also introducing model spread in exact timing and intensity of showers. Stronger northerly winds and elevated humidity further moderate diurnal ranges compared to the preceding hot, clear period. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 25–26°C because official guidance shows overlapping ranges across ensemble runs, with lower outcomes like 24°C gaining traction if heavier rainfall arrives earlier than projected. Updated model outputs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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