**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to a high near 100–101°F for Austin on August 29 under mostly sunny skies, light south to southeast winds, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation chances (under 10–20%).** This aligns directly with the market's leading 100–101°F outcome at 59.5% implied probability. Recent observations show a slight cooldown from peak heat: Austin recorded 104°F on August 27 and 99–101°F on August 28, following earlier August highs up to 107°F. Persistent subtropical high pressure, above-normal seasonal baselines (August average high ~96°F), and low humidity supporting strong daytime heating continue to favor upper-90s to low-100s readings, with limited model spread keeping 98–99°F and 102–103°F as secondary possibilities. Traders appear to be weighting official NWS guidance and short-term model runs most heavily ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on August 29?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 29?
100-101°F 56%
98-99°F 37%
96-97°F 19%
104-105°F 18%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 29, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
16%
96-97°F
19%
98-99°F
37%
100-101°F
60%
102-103°F
11%
104-105°F
18%
106-107°F
14%
108°F or higher
4%
100-101°F 56%
98-99°F 37%
96-97°F 19%
104-105°F 18%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 29, 2026
89°F or below
$0 KL.
<1%
90-91°F
$0 KL.
<1%
92-93°F
$0 KL.
8%
94-95°F
$0 KL.
16%
96-97°F
$0 KL.
19%
98-99°F
$0 KL.
37%
100-101°F
$57 KL.
60%
102-103°F
$0 KL.
11%
104-105°F
$14 KL.
18%
106-107°F
$0 KL.
14%
108°F or higher
$20 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to a high near 100–101°F for Austin on August 29 under mostly sunny skies, light south to southeast winds, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation chances (under 10–20%).** This aligns directly with the market's leading 100–101°F outcome at 59.5% implied probability.
Recent observations show a slight cooldown from peak heat: Austin recorded 104°F on August 27 and 99–101°F on August 28, following earlier August highs up to 107°F. Persistent subtropical high pressure, above-normal seasonal baselines (August average high ~96°F), and low humidity supporting strong daytime heating continue to favor upper-90s to low-100s readings, with limited model spread keeping 98–99°F and 102–103°F as secondary possibilities. Traders appear to be weighting official NWS guidance and short-term model runs most heavily ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$92Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to a high near 100–101°F for Austin on August 29 under mostly sunny skies, light south to southeast winds, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation chances (under 10–20%).** This aligns directly with the market's leading 100–101°F outcome at 59.5% implied probability.
Recent observations show a slight cooldown from peak heat: Austin recorded 104°F on August 27 and 99–101°F on August 28, following earlier August highs up to 107°F. Persistent subtropical high pressure, above-normal seasonal baselines (August average high ~96°F), and low humidity supporting strong daytime heating continue to favor upper-90s to low-100s readings, with limited model spread keeping 98–99°F and 102–103°F as secondary possibilities. Traders appear to be weighting official NWS guidance and short-term model runs most heavily ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$92Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to a high near 100–101°F for Austin on August 29 under mostly sunny skies, light south to southeast winds, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation chances (under 10–20%).** This aligns directly with the market's leading 100–101°F outcome at 59.5% implied probability. Recent observations show a slight cooldown from peak heat: Austin recorded 104°F on August 27 and 99–101°F on August 28, following earlier August highs up to 107°F. Persistent subtropical high pressure, above-normal seasonal baselines (August average high ~96°F), and low humidity supporting strong daytime heating continue to favor upper-90s to low-100s readings, with limited model spread keeping 98–99°F and 102–103°F as secondary possibilities. Traders appear to be weighting official NWS guidance and short-term model runs most heavily ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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