Recent National Weather Service forecasts highlight marine layer development and southwest winds of 5–15 mph overnight as the key drivers cooling Los Angeles, with lows projected in the mid to upper 60s amid patchy fog after 11 p.m. This aligns with trader emphasis on 65°F or below at 43% implied probability, consistent with historical August climatology where coastal advection often produces sub-70°F readings despite daytime highs near 82–95°F under a lingering heat advisory. Model consensus shows modest spread around 68–73°F ranges, reflecting variable fog timing and wind gusts up to 20 mph that could limit or enhance radiative cooling. Updated NWS briefings through the evening remain the next critical input for refining these market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 29?
65°F or below 86%
68-69°F 27%
70-71°F 27%
66-67°F 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 29, 2026
65°F or below
86%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
8%
84°F or higher
<1%
65°F or below 86%
68-69°F 27%
70-71°F 27%
66-67°F 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 29, 2026
65°F or below
$27 KL.
86%
66-67°F
$10 KL.
26%
68-69°F
$0 KL.
27%
70-71°F
$0 KL.
27%
72-73°F
$16 KL.
29%
74-75°F
$24 KL.
30%
76-77°F
$15 KL.
2%
78-79°F
$5 KL.
2%
80-81°F
$12 KL.
7%
82-83°F
$27 KL.
8%
84°F or higher
$16 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts highlight marine layer development and southwest winds of 5–15 mph overnight as the key drivers cooling Los Angeles, with lows projected in the mid to upper 60s amid patchy fog after 11 p.m. This aligns with trader emphasis on 65°F or below at 43% implied probability, consistent with historical August climatology where coastal advection often produces sub-70°F readings despite daytime highs near 82–95°F under a lingering heat advisory. Model consensus shows modest spread around 68–73°F ranges, reflecting variable fog timing and wind gusts up to 20 mph that could limit or enhance radiative cooling. Updated NWS briefings through the evening remain the next critical input for refining these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$152Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts highlight marine layer development and southwest winds of 5–15 mph overnight as the key drivers cooling Los Angeles, with lows projected in the mid to upper 60s amid patchy fog after 11 p.m. This aligns with trader emphasis on 65°F or below at 43% implied probability, consistent with historical August climatology where coastal advection often produces sub-70°F readings despite daytime highs near 82–95°F under a lingering heat advisory. Model consensus shows modest spread around 68–73°F ranges, reflecting variable fog timing and wind gusts up to 20 mph that could limit or enhance radiative cooling. Updated NWS briefings through the evening remain the next critical input for refining these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$152Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts highlight marine layer development and southwest winds of 5–15 mph overnight as the key drivers cooling Los Angeles, with lows projected in the mid to upper 60s amid patchy fog after 11 p.m. This aligns with trader emphasis on 65°F or below at 43% implied probability, consistent with historical August climatology where coastal advection often produces sub-70°F readings despite daytime highs near 82–95°F under a lingering heat advisory. Model consensus shows modest spread around 68–73°F ranges, reflecting variable fog timing and wind gusts up to 20 mph that could limit or enhance radiative cooling. Updated NWS briefings through the evening remain the next critical input for refining these market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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