Traders see the lowest temperature in Chicago on August 29 as highly uncertain, with market-implied odds clustered tightly between the 64–65 °F range (35 %) and 74 °F or higher (33 %), reflecting divergent National Weather Service model guidance on overnight radiational cooling. Key variables include the strength of any passing shortwave trough, cloud-cover thickness that could limit longwave radiation loss, and Lake Michigan’s moderating influence on boundary-layer mixing. Historical late-August climatology shows typical overnight lows near 65 °F, but small shifts in dew-point depression or wind speed can swing the minimum several degrees either way. Updated forecast discussions and 00Z/12Z model runs expected overnight will likely narrow the spread before the market resolves.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chicago on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on August 29?
74°F or higher 42%
56-57°F 39%
64-65°F 35%
66-67°F 31%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 29, 2026
55°F or below
16%
56-57°F
39%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
26%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
35%
66-67°F
31%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
15%
74°F or higher
42%
74°F or higher 42%
56-57°F 39%
64-65°F 35%
66-67°F 31%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 29, 2026
55°F or below
$135 KL.
16%
56-57°F
$5 KL.
39%
58-59°F
$0 KL.
26%
60-61°F
$0 KL.
26%
62-63°F
$0 KL.
27%
64-65°F
$0 KL.
35%
66-67°F
$0 KL.
31%
68-69°F
$0 KL.
26%
70-71°F
$0 KL.
25%
72-73°F
$5 KL.
15%
74°F or higher
$5 KL.
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the lowest temperature in Chicago on August 29 as highly uncertain, with market-implied odds clustered tightly between the 64–65 °F range (35 %) and 74 °F or higher (33 %), reflecting divergent National Weather Service model guidance on overnight radiational cooling. Key variables include the strength of any passing shortwave trough, cloud-cover thickness that could limit longwave radiation loss, and Lake Michigan’s moderating influence on boundary-layer mixing. Historical late-August climatology shows typical overnight lows near 65 °F, but small shifts in dew-point depression or wind speed can swing the minimum several degrees either way. Updated forecast discussions and 00Z/12Z model runs expected overnight will likely narrow the spread before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$150Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the lowest temperature in Chicago on August 29 as highly uncertain, with market-implied odds clustered tightly between the 64–65 °F range (35 %) and 74 °F or higher (33 %), reflecting divergent National Weather Service model guidance on overnight radiational cooling. Key variables include the strength of any passing shortwave trough, cloud-cover thickness that could limit longwave radiation loss, and Lake Michigan’s moderating influence on boundary-layer mixing. Historical late-August climatology shows typical overnight lows near 65 °F, but small shifts in dew-point depression or wind speed can swing the minimum several degrees either way. Updated forecast discussions and 00Z/12Z model runs expected overnight will likely narrow the spread before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$150Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the lowest temperature in Chicago on August 29 as highly uncertain, with market-implied odds clustered tightly between the 64–65 °F range (35 %) and 74 °F or higher (33 %), reflecting divergent National Weather Service model guidance on overnight radiational cooling. Key variables include the strength of any passing shortwave trough, cloud-cover thickness that could limit longwave radiation loss, and Lake Michigan’s moderating influence on boundary-layer mixing. Historical late-August climatology shows typical overnight lows near 65 °F, but small shifts in dew-point depression or wind speed can swing the minimum several degrees either way. Updated forecast discussions and 00Z/12Z model runs expected overnight will likely narrow the spread before the market resolves.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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