Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of exactly 56°F on August 29, matching the seasonal normal of 56°F and aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 56-57°F range. Persistent marine layer stratus, strong onshore flow from the cool California Current, and coastal upwelling maintained typical overnight stability without significant radiative cooling or warming influences. This outcome reflects standard late-summer climatology for the region, where the daily low rarely deviates far from the long-term average absent unusual synoptic patterns. Potential challenges include rare post-publication data revisions or resolution criteria tied to a non-airport station, though such shifts remain improbable given the finalized climatological report.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in San Francisco on August 29?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on August 29?
56-57°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$2,127 KL.
$2,127 KL.
Aug 29, 2026
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
Yes
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
No
56-57°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$2,127 KL.
$2,127 KL.
Aug 29, 2026
49°F or below
$129 KL.
No
50-51°F
$121 KL.
No
52-53°F
$71 KL.
No
54-55°F
$52 KL.
No
56-57°F
$897 KL.
Yes
58-59°F
$200 KL.
No
60-61°F
$167 KL.
No
62-63°F
$103 KL.
No
64-65°F
$45 KL.
No
66-67°F
$297 KL.
No
68°F or higher
$45 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of exactly 56°F on August 29, matching the seasonal normal of 56°F and aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 56-57°F range. Persistent marine layer stratus, strong onshore flow from the cool California Current, and coastal upwelling maintained typical overnight stability without significant radiative cooling or warming influences. This outcome reflects standard late-summer climatology for the region, where the daily low rarely deviates far from the long-term average absent unusual synoptic patterns. Potential challenges include rare post-publication data revisions or resolution criteria tied to a non-airport station, though such shifts remain improbable given the finalized climatological report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,127Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of exactly 56°F on August 29, matching the seasonal normal of 56°F and aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 56-57°F range. Persistent marine layer stratus, strong onshore flow from the cool California Current, and coastal upwelling maintained typical overnight stability without significant radiative cooling or warming influences. This outcome reflects standard late-summer climatology for the region, where the daily low rarely deviates far from the long-term average absent unusual synoptic patterns. Potential challenges include rare post-publication data revisions or resolution criteria tied to a non-airport station, though such shifts remain improbable given the finalized climatological report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,127Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of exactly 56°F on August 29, matching the seasonal normal of 56°F and aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 56-57°F range. Persistent marine layer stratus, strong onshore flow from the cool California Current, and coastal upwelling maintained typical overnight stability without significant radiative cooling or warming influences. This outcome reflects standard late-summer climatology for the region, where the daily low rarely deviates far from the long-term average absent unusual synoptic patterns. Potential challenges include rare post-publication data revisions or resolution criteria tied to a non-airport station, though such shifts remain improbable given the finalized climatological report.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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