Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 29, 2026, indicate clear skies, light southerly winds, and a minimum temperature in the mid-70s under stable high pressure following any Friday moisture. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling while above-average dew points and urban heat retention keep readings several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 71.7°F. Model consensus shows little spread, with only minor variations possible from exact wind speeds or localized cloud cover. Historical extremes below 68°F remain rare in late August without a strong frontal passage, and odds of readings near or above 86°F would require anomalous warm advection inconsistent with current steering patterns. Traders appear to weigh residual model uncertainty and resolution criteria around the overnight minimum against this evidence-based outlook.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Austin on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 29?
86°F or higher 88%
76-77°F 49%
78-79°F 49%
80-81°F 49%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 29, 2026
67°F or below
43%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
5%
86°F or higher
88%
86°F or higher 88%
76-77°F 49%
78-79°F 49%
80-81°F 49%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 29, 2026
67°F or below
$5 KL.
43%
68-69°F
$0 KL.
25%
70-71°F
$10 KL.
4%
72-73°F
$0 KL.
27%
74-75°F
$0 KL.
28%
76-77°F
$0 KL.
49%
78-79°F
$0 KL.
49%
80-81°F
$0 KL.
49%
82-83°F
$5 KL.
1%
84-85°F
$135 KL.
5%
86°F or higher
$5 KL.
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 29, 2026, indicate clear skies, light southerly winds, and a minimum temperature in the mid-70s under stable high pressure following any Friday moisture. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling while above-average dew points and urban heat retention keep readings several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 71.7°F. Model consensus shows little spread, with only minor variations possible from exact wind speeds or localized cloud cover. Historical extremes below 68°F remain rare in late August without a strong frontal passage, and odds of readings near or above 86°F would require anomalous warm advection inconsistent with current steering patterns. Traders appear to weigh residual model uncertainty and resolution criteria around the overnight minimum against this evidence-based outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$160Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 29, 2026, indicate clear skies, light southerly winds, and a minimum temperature in the mid-70s under stable high pressure following any Friday moisture. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling while above-average dew points and urban heat retention keep readings several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 71.7°F. Model consensus shows little spread, with only minor variations possible from exact wind speeds or localized cloud cover. Historical extremes below 68°F remain rare in late August without a strong frontal passage, and odds of readings near or above 86°F would require anomalous warm advection inconsistent with current steering patterns. Traders appear to weigh residual model uncertainty and resolution criteria around the overnight minimum against this evidence-based outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$160Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 29, 2026, indicate clear skies, light southerly winds, and a minimum temperature in the mid-70s under stable high pressure following any Friday moisture. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling while above-average dew points and urban heat retention keep readings several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 71.7°F. Model consensus shows little spread, with only minor variations possible from exact wind speeds or localized cloud cover. Historical extremes below 68°F remain rare in late August without a strong frontal passage, and odds of readings near or above 86°F would require anomalous warm advection inconsistent with current steering patterns. Traders appear to weigh residual model uncertainty and resolution criteria around the overnight minimum against this evidence-based outlook.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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