Persistent easterly flow and high dew points from tropical moisture are limiting nocturnal radiational cooling across South Florida, keeping overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 29. National Weather Service and model guidance project a minimum near 80–81°F amid scattered thunderstorms and humid conditions, consistent with late-August climatology where Miami’s average daily low reaches 77.5°F. The 90% market-implied probability for 76–77°F reflects traders’ assessment that any modest model cooling bias or brief clear-sky window could still produce a reading at the lower end of the recent range, while warmer outcomes remain unlikely absent a significant change in steering patterns or moisture.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Miami on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 29?
76-77°F 90%
74-75°F 5%
72-73°F 1.1%
68-69°F <1%
$11,956 KL.
$11,956 KL.
Aug 29, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
90%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 90%
74-75°F 5%
72-73°F 1.1%
68-69°F <1%
$11,956 KL.
$11,956 KL.
Aug 29, 2026
67°F or below
$169 KL.
<1%
68-69°F
$208 KL.
1%
70-71°F
$312 KL.
<1%
72-73°F
$239 KL.
1%
74-75°F
$199 KL.
5%
76-77°F
$471 KL.
90%
78-79°F
$5,116 KL.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,942 KL.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,528 KL.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,571 KL.
<1%
86°F or higher
$200 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent easterly flow and high dew points from tropical moisture are limiting nocturnal radiational cooling across South Florida, keeping overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 29. National Weather Service and model guidance project a minimum near 80–81°F amid scattered thunderstorms and humid conditions, consistent with late-August climatology where Miami’s average daily low reaches 77.5°F. The 90% market-implied probability for 76–77°F reflects traders’ assessment that any modest model cooling bias or brief clear-sky window could still produce a reading at the lower end of the recent range, while warmer outcomes remain unlikely absent a significant change in steering patterns or moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$11,956Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent easterly flow and high dew points from tropical moisture are limiting nocturnal radiational cooling across South Florida, keeping overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 29. National Weather Service and model guidance project a minimum near 80–81°F amid scattered thunderstorms and humid conditions, consistent with late-August climatology where Miami’s average daily low reaches 77.5°F. The 90% market-implied probability for 76–77°F reflects traders’ assessment that any modest model cooling bias or brief clear-sky window could still produce a reading at the lower end of the recent range, while warmer outcomes remain unlikely absent a significant change in steering patterns or moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$11,956Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent easterly flow and high dew points from tropical moisture are limiting nocturnal radiational cooling across South Florida, keeping overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 29. National Weather Service and model guidance project a minimum near 80–81°F amid scattered thunderstorms and humid conditions, consistent with late-August climatology where Miami’s average daily low reaches 77.5°F. The 90% market-implied probability for 76–77°F reflects traders’ assessment that any modest model cooling bias or brief clear-sky window could still produce a reading at the lower end of the recent range, while warmer outcomes remain unlikely absent a significant change in steering patterns or moisture.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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