**Persistent showers and thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea are moderating overnight radiative cooling in Hong Kong, positioning the daily minimum temperature for August 22 near 27°C.** Official and model forecasts from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles consistently indicate overnight lows of 26–28°C under mostly cloudy skies, high humidity (70–95%), and light southerly to southwesterly winds, which limit clear-sky cooling typical of drier conditions. Recent observations on August 21 showed minima around 25–26°C amid similar unsettled weather, supporting the market's leading outcomes at 27°C (45.5%) and 28°C (27.5%). Minor model spread on exact rain timing and cloud persistence creates the observed probability distribution, with resolution based on the official HKO minimum reading at the Observatory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 22?
27°C 45%
28°C 27%
26°C 21%
25°C 13%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
13%
26°C
21%
27°C
45%
28°C
27%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 45%
28°C 27%
26°C 21%
25°C 13%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
13%
26°C
21%
27°C
45%
28°C
27%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent showers and thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea are moderating overnight radiative cooling in Hong Kong, positioning the daily minimum temperature for August 22 near 27°C.** Official and model forecasts from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles consistently indicate overnight lows of 26–28°C under mostly cloudy skies, high humidity (70–95%), and light southerly to southwesterly winds, which limit clear-sky cooling typical of drier conditions. Recent observations on August 21 showed minima around 25–26°C amid similar unsettled weather, supporting the market's leading outcomes at 27°C (45.5%) and 28°C (27.5%). Minor model spread on exact rain timing and cloud persistence creates the observed probability distribution, with resolution based on the official HKO minimum reading at the Observatory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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