Hong Kong's subtropical summer climate, driven by persistent high pressure and warm sea surface temperatures, typically produces overnight lows of 26–28°C in late August, with urban heat retention preventing deeper cooling. Current Hong Kong Observatory guidance and model consensus indicate a minimum near 28°C for August 23, aligning with the market's near-certain implied probability on that outcome. Recent stable atmospheric conditions and absence of any approaching cooler air mass or significant rainfall have reinforced trader confidence. A rapid shift in steering winds or an unforecast thunderstorm complex could still produce a lower reading, though such changes remain unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 23?
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$23,296 KL.
$23,296 KL.
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$23,296 KL.
$23,296 KL.
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
$748 KL.
<1%
22°C
$1,374 KL.
<1%
23°C
$2,150 KL.
<1%
24°C
$2,129 KL.
<1%
25°C
$2,635 KL.
<1%
26°C
$1,814 KL.
<1%
27°C
$3,061 KL.
<1%
28°C
$5,113 KL.
100%
29°C
$3,106 KL.
<1%
30°C
$764 KL.
<1%
31°C or higher
$400 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's subtropical summer climate, driven by persistent high pressure and warm sea surface temperatures, typically produces overnight lows of 26–28°C in late August, with urban heat retention preventing deeper cooling. Current Hong Kong Observatory guidance and model consensus indicate a minimum near 28°C for August 23, aligning with the market's near-certain implied probability on that outcome. Recent stable atmospheric conditions and absence of any approaching cooler air mass or significant rainfall have reinforced trader confidence. A rapid shift in steering winds or an unforecast thunderstorm complex could still produce a lower reading, though such changes remain unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$23,296Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's subtropical summer climate, driven by persistent high pressure and warm sea surface temperatures, typically produces overnight lows of 26–28°C in late August, with urban heat retention preventing deeper cooling. Current Hong Kong Observatory guidance and model consensus indicate a minimum near 28°C for August 23, aligning with the market's near-certain implied probability on that outcome. Recent stable atmospheric conditions and absence of any approaching cooler air mass or significant rainfall have reinforced trader confidence. A rapid shift in steering winds or an unforecast thunderstorm complex could still produce a lower reading, though such changes remain unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$23,296Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's subtropical summer climate, driven by persistent high pressure and warm sea surface temperatures, typically produces overnight lows of 26–28°C in late August, with urban heat retention preventing deeper cooling. Current Hong Kong Observatory guidance and model consensus indicate a minimum near 28°C for August 23, aligning with the market's near-certain implied probability on that outcome. Recent stable atmospheric conditions and absence of any approaching cooler air mass or significant rainfall have reinforced trader confidence. A rapid shift in steering winds or an unforecast thunderstorm complex could still produce a lower reading, though such changes remain unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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