Traders converged on 27°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on August 25 because official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded nighttime minimums holding precisely at this threshold under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity, light winds, and the absence of any strong cold fronts or typhoon-induced cooling kept surface temperatures from dropping further, consistent with historical August baselines where daily lows average 26–28°C. Model runs and station data showed no significant deviations overnight. Revised measurements from additional monitoring sites or post-event quality checks remain the only realistic factors that could alter the outcome, though current verified records indicate strong consensus around this exact value.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 25?
27°C 100%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$33,750 KL.
$33,750 KL.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
27°C 100%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$33,750 KL.
$33,750 KL.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Traders converged on 27°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on August 25 because official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded nighttime minimums holding precisely at this threshold under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity, light winds, and the absence of any strong cold fronts or typhoon-induced cooling kept surface temperatures from dropping further, consistent with historical August baselines where daily lows average 26–28°C. Model runs and station data showed no significant deviations overnight. Revised measurements from additional monitoring sites or post-event quality checks remain the only realistic factors that could alter the outcome, though current verified records indicate strong consensus around this exact value.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp