Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a high near 82–86°F for Seattle on August 25, with marine air and possible lingering onshore flow tempering daytime heating under hazy sunshine. Model consensus favors the 82–85°F range as the most probable outcome because typical August sea-breeze effects and a modest upper-level trough limit strong warming, while any delay in marine-layer intrusion or stronger downslope flow could push readings into the mid-80s. Traders assign the highest probability to 82–83°F because ensemble spreads show limited upside beyond 85°F without a sharper ridge, and historical August maxima cluster near the low 80s when similar synoptic patterns prevail.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seattle on August 25?
84-85°F 36%
82-83°F 32%
80-81°F 18%
86-87°F 16%
77°F or below
2%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
32%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
3%
96°F or higher
6%
84-85°F 36%
82-83°F 32%
80-81°F 18%
86-87°F 16%
77°F or below
2%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
32%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
3%
96°F or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a high near 82–86°F for Seattle on August 25, with marine air and possible lingering onshore flow tempering daytime heating under hazy sunshine. Model consensus favors the 82–85°F range as the most probable outcome because typical August sea-breeze effects and a modest upper-level trough limit strong warming, while any delay in marine-layer intrusion or stronger downslope flow could push readings into the mid-80s. Traders assign the highest probability to 82–83°F because ensemble spreads show limited upside beyond 85°F without a sharper ridge, and historical August maxima cluster near the low 80s when similar synoptic patterns prevail.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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