Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance points to a Monday high near 77°F in Seattle under mostly sunny skies with light northerly winds, aligning with the market's concentration on 76–79°F bins. Late-summer climatology shows an average daily maximum of about 76°F, but persistent warmer-than-normal Pacific Northwest conditions this season—driven by above-average sea-surface temperatures and a favored high-pressure pattern—support slightly elevated readings. Marine-layer development or increased afternoon cloud cover remains the main variable that could cap temperatures in the mid-70s, while any delay in onshore flow would allow readings to reach the upper 70s. Updated model runs and morning observations on August 24 will refine the final outcome before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seattle on August 24?
78-79°F 38%
76-77°F 26%
80-81°F 19%
74-75°F 14%
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
5%
86°F or higher
2%
78-79°F 38%
76-77°F 26%
80-81°F 19%
74-75°F 14%
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
5%
86°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance points to a Monday high near 77°F in Seattle under mostly sunny skies with light northerly winds, aligning with the market's concentration on 76–79°F bins. Late-summer climatology shows an average daily maximum of about 76°F, but persistent warmer-than-normal Pacific Northwest conditions this season—driven by above-average sea-surface temperatures and a favored high-pressure pattern—support slightly elevated readings. Marine-layer development or increased afternoon cloud cover remains the main variable that could cap temperatures in the mid-70s, while any delay in onshore flow would allow readings to reach the upper 70s. Updated model runs and morning observations on August 24 will refine the final outcome before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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