Recent forecasts from Mexican meteorological authorities and global models point to persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and afternoon thunderstorms suppressing maximum temperatures in Mexico City on August 24, with official guidance centering on a 23–25 °C range amid the summer rainy season. High elevation (approximately 2,240 m) and orographic lift enhance convective activity, while thick stratiform clouds reduce incoming solar radiation and limit daytime warming compared to clearer climatological baselines. Minor differences among 19–22 °C outcomes hinge on precise timing of precipitation onset, boundary-layer moisture, and local wind patterns that modulate evaporative cooling versus insolation. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical August variability, where brief clear spells can add 2–3 °C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 24?
20°C 37%
21°C 32%
19°C 14%
17°C 12%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
12%
18°C
8%
19°C
14%
20°C
37%
21°C
32%
22°C
10%
23°C
9%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
20°C 37%
21°C 32%
19°C 14%
17°C 12%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
12%
18°C
8%
19°C
14%
20°C
37%
21°C
32%
22°C
10%
23°C
9%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Mexican meteorological authorities and global models point to persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and afternoon thunderstorms suppressing maximum temperatures in Mexico City on August 24, with official guidance centering on a 23–25 °C range amid the summer rainy season. High elevation (approximately 2,240 m) and orographic lift enhance convective activity, while thick stratiform clouds reduce incoming solar radiation and limit daytime warming compared to clearer climatological baselines. Minor differences among 19–22 °C outcomes hinge on precise timing of precipitation onset, boundary-layer moisture, and local wind patterns that modulate evaporative cooling versus insolation. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical August variability, where brief clear spells can add 2–3 °C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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