Recent developments feature a frontal system and associated showers bringing cooler westerly flow into southern Ontario, with Environment Canada and GFS-based models indicating overnight lows near 14–16°C for Toronto on August 24. Persistent cloud cover, precipitation, and wind mixing limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above seasonal averages of roughly 17°C while suppressing the potential for deeper drops. Market-implied odds cluster around 9–12°C because traders weigh residual model spread and the possibility of localized clearing or stronger advection against the consensus guidance from official forecasts. Resolution hinges on the official minimum at Pearson Airport, with final model runs and observations expected to tighten the range before midnight local time.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Toronto on August 24?
9°C or below 93%
10°C 51%
11°C 51%
12°C 45%
9°C or below
93%
10°C
51%
11°C
51%
12°C
45%
13°C
26%
14°C
27%
15°C
28%
16°C
27%
17°C
25%
18°C
25%
19°C or higher
2%
9°C or below 93%
10°C 51%
11°C 51%
12°C 45%
9°C or below
93%
10°C
51%
11°C
51%
12°C
45%
13°C
26%
14°C
27%
15°C
28%
16°C
27%
17°C
25%
18°C
25%
19°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent developments feature a frontal system and associated showers bringing cooler westerly flow into southern Ontario, with Environment Canada and GFS-based models indicating overnight lows near 14–16°C for Toronto on August 24. Persistent cloud cover, precipitation, and wind mixing limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above seasonal averages of roughly 17°C while suppressing the potential for deeper drops. Market-implied odds cluster around 9–12°C because traders weigh residual model spread and the possibility of localized clearing or stronger advection against the consensus guidance from official forecasts. Resolution hinges on the official minimum at Pearson Airport, with final model runs and observations expected to tighten the range before midnight local time.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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