Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 24, 2026, call for mostly sunny skies and a high near 99°F, aligning with the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 53.5% implied probability. Recent observations show daily highs of 98-102°F through August 21-22 amid a persistent heat wave with minimal cloud cover and southwest winds favoring strong daytime heating. Above-normal temperatures relative to the late-August climatological average of ~93°F reflect the current pattern, though model consensus limits upside to the 100-101°F range at 27%. Traders appear to weigh the official guidance against minor local variations and any final forecast adjustments before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Houston on August 24?
98-99°F 54%
100-101°F 27%
96-97°F 11%
102-103°F 5%
91°F or below
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
11%
98-99°F
54%
100-101°F
27%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
2%
110°F or higher
2%
98-99°F 54%
100-101°F 27%
96-97°F 11%
102-103°F 5%
91°F or below
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
11%
98-99°F
54%
100-101°F
27%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
2%
110°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 24, 2026, call for mostly sunny skies and a high near 99°F, aligning with the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 53.5% implied probability. Recent observations show daily highs of 98-102°F through August 21-22 amid a persistent heat wave with minimal cloud cover and southwest winds favoring strong daytime heating. Above-normal temperatures relative to the late-August climatological average of ~93°F reflect the current pattern, though model consensus limits upside to the 100-101°F range at 27%. Traders appear to weigh the official guidance against minor local variations and any final forecast adjustments before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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