Forecast models for Miami show overnight lows clustered around 78–81°F as the primary driver of the closely matched market odds, reflecting typical late-August conditions with high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover moderating radiative cooling. Recent National Weather Service guidance highlights minor disagreements among ensembles on the timing and extent of any evening showers or increased cloudiness, which could nudge minimum temperatures a degree or two lower if skies clear earlier. Sea-breeze influences and urban heat retention add further small-scale uncertainty to the precise low, consistent with historical variability where Miami’s August minima often range 76–82°F. Updated model runs and the evening forecast discussion tomorrow will likely clarify the outcome before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Miami on August 24?
80-81°F 40%
78-79°F 34%
82-83°F 14%
76-77°F 13%
69°F or below
4%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
2%
88°F or higher
3%
80-81°F 40%
78-79°F 34%
82-83°F 14%
76-77°F 13%
69°F or below
4%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
2%
88°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Miami show overnight lows clustered around 78–81°F as the primary driver of the closely matched market odds, reflecting typical late-August conditions with high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover moderating radiative cooling. Recent National Weather Service guidance highlights minor disagreements among ensembles on the timing and extent of any evening showers or increased cloudiness, which could nudge minimum temperatures a degree or two lower if skies clear earlier. Sea-breeze influences and urban heat retention add further small-scale uncertainty to the precise low, consistent with historical variability where Miami’s August minima often range 76–82°F. Updated model runs and the evening forecast discussion tomorrow will likely clarify the outcome before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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