Recent model consensus and official guidance from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a daytime high near 24–26 °C on August 27, with scattered clouds, light northeasterly flow, and a 30–40 % chance of afternoon showers that could cap peak heating. Ensemble spreads remain modest, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of convection explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 24 °C and 25 °C while still pricing a non-negligible chance for 26 °C. Historical August maxima in the Valley of Mexico average around 25 °C, providing context for the tight clustering around these outcomes. Updated high-resolution runs and early-morning surface observations tomorrow will be the next key inputs likely to shift market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 27?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 27?
24°C 37%
25°C 29%
26°C 20%
23°C 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 27, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
16%
24°C
37%
25°C
29%
26°C
20%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
2%
24°C 37%
25°C 29%
26°C 20%
23°C 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 27, 2026
18°C or below
$0 KL.
1%
19°C
$0 KL.
2%
20°C
$0 KL.
2%
21°C
$0 KL.
3%
22°C
$0 KL.
4%
23°C
$0 KL.
16%
24°C
$25 KL.
37%
25°C
$12 KL.
29%
26°C
$12 KL.
20%
27°C
$5 KL.
6%
28°C or higher
$0 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and official guidance from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a daytime high near 24–26 °C on August 27, with scattered clouds, light northeasterly flow, and a 30–40 % chance of afternoon showers that could cap peak heating. Ensemble spreads remain modest, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of convection explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 24 °C and 25 °C while still pricing a non-negligible chance for 26 °C. Historical August maxima in the Valley of Mexico average around 25 °C, providing context for the tight clustering around these outcomes. Updated high-resolution runs and early-morning surface observations tomorrow will be the next key inputs likely to shift market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$54Ngày kết thúc
Aug 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and official guidance from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a daytime high near 24–26 °C on August 27, with scattered clouds, light northeasterly flow, and a 30–40 % chance of afternoon showers that could cap peak heating. Ensemble spreads remain modest, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of convection explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 24 °C and 25 °C while still pricing a non-negligible chance for 26 °C. Historical August maxima in the Valley of Mexico average around 25 °C, providing context for the tight clustering around these outcomes. Updated high-resolution runs and early-morning surface observations tomorrow will be the next key inputs likely to shift market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$54Ngày kết thúc
Aug 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus and official guidance from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a daytime high near 24–26 °C on August 27, with scattered clouds, light northeasterly flow, and a 30–40 % chance of afternoon showers that could cap peak heating. Ensemble spreads remain modest, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of convection explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 24 °C and 25 °C while still pricing a non-negligible chance for 26 °C. Historical August maxima in the Valley of Mexico average around 25 °C, providing context for the tight clustering around these outcomes. Updated high-resolution runs and early-morning surface observations tomorrow will be the next key inputs likely to shift market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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