Official National Weather Service observations from Dallas stations on August 26 recorded a daily maximum temperature of 100–101 °F, producing the market’s near-100 % consensus. Persistent high-pressure ridging, above-average soil moisture deficits, and light winds under clear skies suppressed overnight cooling and allowed afternoon readings to reach that precise range. Model guidance issued 24–48 hours earlier had already converged on this outcome, leaving little room for traders to assign meaningful probability to adjacent brackets. Only a last-minute station calibration revision or localized micro-climate anomaly could have altered the result, both of which are rare once preliminary data are released.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Dallas on August 26?
100-101°F 100.0%
95°F or below <1%
96-97°F <1%
98-99°F <1%
$64,750 KL.
$64,750 KL.
95°F or below
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
Yes
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110-111°F
No
112-113°F
No
114°F or higher
No
100-101°F 100.0%
95°F or below <1%
96-97°F <1%
98-99°F <1%
$64,750 KL.
$64,750 KL.
95°F or below
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
Yes
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110-111°F
No
112-113°F
No
114°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official National Weather Service observations from Dallas stations on August 26 recorded a daily maximum temperature of 100–101 °F, producing the market’s near-100 % consensus. Persistent high-pressure ridging, above-average soil moisture deficits, and light winds under clear skies suppressed overnight cooling and allowed afternoon readings to reach that precise range. Model guidance issued 24–48 hours earlier had already converged on this outcome, leaving little room for traders to assign meaningful probability to adjacent brackets. Only a last-minute station calibration revision or localized micro-climate anomaly could have altered the result, both of which are rare once preliminary data are released.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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