Short-term forecast uncertainty in the Red Sea coastal region drives closely matched trader consensus across the listed temperature bins, with market-implied odds reflecting divergent global model runs for Jeddah’s September 1 nighttime minimum. Primary factors include variable sea surface temperatures influencing local humidity and marine layer development, along with steering patterns from subtropical high pressure that can either suppress or enhance nocturnal cooling through wind shifts and cloud cover. Official guidance from meteorological agencies notes typical early-September lows near 30°C amid ongoing summer warmth, yet small changes in timing of any trough or increased onshore flow could shift outcomes by several degrees. New model updates and observational data expected within 48 hours remain key variables for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 1?
26°C or below 59%
36°C or higher 59%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
26°C or below
59%
27°C
47%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
49%
33°C
49%
34°C
2%
35°C
49%
36°C or higher
59%
26°C or below 59%
36°C or higher 59%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
26°C or below
59%
27°C
47%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
49%
33°C
49%
34°C
2%
35°C
49%
36°C or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecast uncertainty in the Red Sea coastal region drives closely matched trader consensus across the listed temperature bins, with market-implied odds reflecting divergent global model runs for Jeddah’s September 1 nighttime minimum. Primary factors include variable sea surface temperatures influencing local humidity and marine layer development, along with steering patterns from subtropical high pressure that can either suppress or enhance nocturnal cooling through wind shifts and cloud cover. Official guidance from meteorological agencies notes typical early-September lows near 30°C amid ongoing summer warmth, yet small changes in timing of any trough or increased onshore flow could shift outcomes by several degrees. New model updates and observational data expected within 48 hours remain key variables for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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