**Clear skies under a dominant high-pressure system are driving trader consensus toward a 21–22°C minimum in Chengdu on September 2.** Official forecasts from sources including the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and multiple models consistently project overnight lows in this narrow range, with daytime highs near 33–34°C under sunny to partly cloudy conditions. Chengdu’s Sichuan Basin setting amplifies radiative cooling at night when skies remain clear, as limited wind (<3 m/s) and moderate humidity (around 40–60%) allow surface heat to escape efficiently while the surrounding terrain promotes localized temperature inversions. Minor model spreads in exact minimum temperature—hinging on precise timing of any thin cloud cover or slight humidity variations—explain the near-even split between 21°C and 22°C implied probabilities. Historical September averages near 21–22°C further anchor expectations, with negligible chance of extremes given the stable synoptic pattern.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 2?
21°C 50%
19°C 10.0%
20°C 10.0%
18°C 5.5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
6%
19°C
10%
20°C
10%
21°C
50%
22°C
50%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 50%
19°C 10.0%
20°C 10.0%
18°C 5.5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
17°C or below
$95 KL.
1%
18°C
$73 KL.
6%
19°C
$22 KL.
10%
20°C
$27 KL.
10%
21°C
$20 KL.
50%
22°C
$20 KL.
50%
23°C
$35 KL.
<1%
24°C
$35 KL.
<1%
25°C
$55 KL.
<1%
26°C
$30 KL.
<1%
27°C or higher
$30 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies under a dominant high-pressure system are driving trader consensus toward a 21–22°C minimum in Chengdu on September 2.** Official forecasts from sources including the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and multiple models consistently project overnight lows in this narrow range, with daytime highs near 33–34°C under sunny to partly cloudy conditions. Chengdu’s Sichuan Basin setting amplifies radiative cooling at night when skies remain clear, as limited wind (<3 m/s) and moderate humidity (around 40–60%) allow surface heat to escape efficiently while the surrounding terrain promotes localized temperature inversions. Minor model spreads in exact minimum temperature—hinging on precise timing of any thin cloud cover or slight humidity variations—explain the near-even split between 21°C and 22°C implied probabilities. Historical September averages near 21–22°C further anchor expectations, with negligible chance of extremes given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$442Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies under a dominant high-pressure system are driving trader consensus toward a 21–22°C minimum in Chengdu on September 2.** Official forecasts from sources including the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and multiple models consistently project overnight lows in this narrow range, with daytime highs near 33–34°C under sunny to partly cloudy conditions. Chengdu’s Sichuan Basin setting amplifies radiative cooling at night when skies remain clear, as limited wind (<3 m/s) and moderate humidity (around 40–60%) allow surface heat to escape efficiently while the surrounding terrain promotes localized temperature inversions. Minor model spreads in exact minimum temperature—hinging on precise timing of any thin cloud cover or slight humidity variations—explain the near-even split between 21°C and 22°C implied probabilities. Historical September averages near 21–22°C further anchor expectations, with negligible chance of extremes given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$442Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies under a dominant high-pressure system are driving trader consensus toward a 21–22°C minimum in Chengdu on September 2.** Official forecasts from sources including the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and multiple models consistently project overnight lows in this narrow range, with daytime highs near 33–34°C under sunny to partly cloudy conditions. Chengdu’s Sichuan Basin setting amplifies radiative cooling at night when skies remain clear, as limited wind (<3 m/s) and moderate humidity (around 40–60%) allow surface heat to escape efficiently while the surrounding terrain promotes localized temperature inversions. Minor model spreads in exact minimum temperature—hinging on precise timing of any thin cloud cover or slight humidity variations—explain the near-even split between 21°C and 22°C implied probabilities. Historical September averages near 21–22°C further anchor expectations, with negligible chance of extremes given the stable synoptic pattern.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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